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Cavaliers vs Magic prediction NBA · Saturday, January 24

FinalKia Center · FanDuel SN OH, NBA League Pass, FanDuel SN FL
47% win CLEwin ORL 53%
FavoriteORL
Projected margin1.0
Projected total230
ConfidenceLow

At a glance

The Orlando Magic (23-20) host the Cleveland Cavaliers (26-20) on Saturday, January 24 at 7:00 PM ET at Kia Center in NBA action. Final score: Cavaliers 119 – Magic 105. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Magic a 53% chance to win: prediction missed. This season, the Magic are 14-8 at home and the Cavaliers are 11-9 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 5-5 for the Magic and 6-4 for the Cavaliers (current streaks: Magic L2, Cavaliers W2).

The analysis Model

Close to a coin flip: nothing really sets either side apart. The model projects Magic 115 – 114 Cavaliers, a margin of about 1.0 points in favor of the Magic and a total around 230 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. The Cavaliers played yesterday: fatigue often shows in the fourth quarter.

  • The Cavaliers need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Cavaliers' offense (119.7 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Magic
Team strength (adjusted point differential)ORL +0.2 / CLE +3.0 per game
-2.9
Home-court advantageMagic at home
+2.3
Back-to-backCavaliers played yesterday
+1.6
Expected marginfor Magic
+1.0

Scenarios

Magic win by 10+
24%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
31%
Cavaliers win by 10+
19%

Stat comparison Current season

CLEORL
119.7
Points scored / game
113.4
116.2
Points allowed / game
113.2
46.8 %
Field goal %
44.2 %
36.7 %
3-point %
31.4 %
37.5
3-pointers attempted / game
39.0
79.3 %
Free throw %
75.0 %
47.0
Rebounds / game
41.3
26.3
Assists / game
26.0
8.8
Steals / game
7.8
7.5
Blocks / game
4.5
17.3
Turnovers / game
17.8

Top performers

Cavaliers
Donovan MitchellG · #4536pts / game
Donovan MitchellG · #459assists
Lonzo BallG · #28rebounds
Magic
Paolo BancheroF · #527pts / game
Jalen SuggsG · #46assists
Moritz WagnerC · #136rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
CLE
No games played yet.
ORL
No games played yet.

Team comparison

CLEORL
26-20Record23-20
119.7Points scored / game113.4
116.2Points allowed / game113.2
+3.0Adjusted margin / game+0.2
W2Current streakL2
6-4Last 10 games5-5
11-9 roadHome / road record14-8 home
64-18 (+9.5)Last season41-41 (-0.1)
YesPlayed yesterdayNo

Cleveland Cavaliers Injury report Cavaliers

No injuries reported.

Orlando Magic Injury report Magic

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.