Wizards vs Knicks prediction NBA · Sunday, March 22
At a glance
The New York Knicks (47-25) host the Washington Wizards (16-54) on Sunday, March 22 at 7:30 PM ET at Madison Square Garden in NBA action. Final score: Wizards 113 – Knicks 145. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Knicks a 93% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Knicks are 26-9 at home and the Wizards are 5-28 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 7-3 for the Knicks and 0-10 for the Wizards (current streaks: Knicks W5, Wizards L15).
The analysis Model
On paper, the Knicks dominate this matchup. The model projects Knicks 124 – 105 Wizards, a margin of about 18.9 points in favor of the Knicks and a total around 230 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. The Wizards played yesterday: fatigue often shows in the fourth quarter.
- The overall strength gap (+5.2 vs -9.8 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The Wizards need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Knicks' offense (116.7 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
- The Knicks' defense allows clearly fewer points (110.6 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
WSHNY
Top performers
Wizards
Jaden HardyG · #725pts / game
Bub CarringtonG · #78assists
Jamir WatkinsG · #56reboundsKnicks
Karl-Anthony TownsC · #3226pts / game
Jose AlvaradoG · #58assistsKarl-Anthony TownsC · #3216reboundsRecent form
WSHNY
WSH
Team comparison
| WSH | NY | |
|---|---|---|
| 16-54 | Record | 47-25 |
| 111.8 | Points scored / game | 116.7 |
| 123.3 | Points allowed / game | 110.6 |
| -9.8 | Adjusted margin / game | +5.2 |
| L15 | Current streak | W5 |
| 0-10 | Last 10 games | 7-3 |
| 5-28 road | Home / road record | 26-9 home |
| 18-64 (-12.4) | Last season | 51-31 (+4.1) |
| Yes | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Wizards
Injury report Knicks
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.