Match analysisToday's gamesNBA standingsEuroLeagueTrack record
← Back

Wizards vs Knicks prediction NBA · Monday, November 3

FinalMadison Square Garden · MNMT, NBA League Pass, MSG, DAZN (MSG)
13% win WSHwin NY 87%
FavoriteNY
Projected margin14.1
Projected total229
ConfidenceHigh

At a glance

The New York Knicks (3-3) host the Washington Wizards (1-5) on Monday, November 3 at 7:30 PM ET at Madison Square Garden in NBA action. Final score: Wizards 102 – Knicks 119. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Knicks a 87% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Knicks are 3-0 at home and the Wizards are 1-2 on the road. Since the start of the season: 3-3 for the Knicks and 1-5 for the Wizards (current streaks: Knicks W1, Wizards L4).

The analysis Model

The Knicks start with a clear edge. The model projects Knicks 122 – 108 Wizards, a margin of about 14.1 points in favor of the Knicks and a total around 229 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. The Knicks played yesterday: fatigue often shows in the fourth quarter.

  • The overall strength gap (+2.4 vs -11.0 pts/game) is the main factor.
  • The Wizards need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Knicks' offense (115.8 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
  • The Knicks' defense allows clearly fewer points (113.0 pts/game).

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Knicks
Team strength (adjusted point differential)NY +2.4 / WSH -11.0 per game
+13.4
Home-court advantageKnicks at home
+2.3
Back-to-backKnicks played yesterday
-1.6
Expected marginfor Knicks
+14.1

Scenarios

Knicks win by 10+
63%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
17%
Wizards win by 10+
3%

Stat comparison Current season

WSHNY
110.1
Points scored / game
115.8
123.1
Points allowed / game
113.0
48.0 %
Field goal %
42.2 %
28.5 %
3-point %
35.9 %
31.6
3-pointers attempted / game
39.0
83.1 %
Free throw %
75.8 %
40.0
Rebounds / game
48.2
25.8
Assists / game
26.8
7.4
Steals / game
7.2
5.6
Blocks / game
4.4
13.6
Turnovers / game
14.8

Top performers

Wizards
Alex SarrC · #2019pts / game
Alex SarrC · #207assists
Alex SarrC · #208rebounds
Knicks
Karl-Anthony TownsC · #3233pts / game
Jalen BrunsonG · #119assists
Karl-Anthony TownsC · #3213rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
WSH
No games played yet.
NY
No games played yet.

Team comparison

WSHNY
1-5Record3-3
110.1Points scored / game115.8
123.1Points allowed / game113.0
-11.0Adjusted margin / game+2.4
L4Current streakW1
1-5Last 10 games3-3
1-2 roadHome / road record3-0 home
18-64 (-12.4)Last season51-31 (+4.1)
NoPlayed yesterdayYes

Washington Wizards Injury report Wizards

No injuries reported.

New York Knicks Injury report Knicks

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.