Match analysisToday's gamesNBA standingsEuroLeagueTrack record
← Back

Pistons vs Wizards prediction NBA · Thursday, March 19

FinalCapital One Arena · MNMT, FanDuel SN DET Ext, NBA League Pass
85% win DETwin WSH 15%
FavoriteDET
Projected margin12.9
Projected total231
ConfidenceHigh

At a glance

The Washington Wizards (16-52) host the Detroit Pistons (49-19) on Thursday, March 19 at 7:00 PM ET at Capital One Arena in NBA action. Final score: Pistons 117 – Wizards 95. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Pistons a 85% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Wizards are 11-24 at home and the Pistons are 23-11 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 0-10 for the Wizards and 5-5 for the Pistons (current streaks: Wizards L13, Pistons W1).

The analysis Model

The Pistons start with a clear edge. The model projects Wizards 109 – 122 Pistons, a margin of about 12.9 points in favor of the Pistons and a total around 231 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.

  • The overall strength gap (-9.5 vs +5.7 pts/game) is the main factor.
  • The Wizards need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Pistons' offense (117.1 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
  • The Pistons' defense allows clearly fewer points (110.4 pts/game).

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Wizards
Team strength (adjusted point differential)WSH -9.5 / DET +5.7 per game
-15.2
Home-court advantageWizards at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Wizards
-12.9

Scenarios

Wizards win by 10+
3%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
19%
Pistons win by 10+
59%

Stat comparison Current season

DETWSH
117.1
Points scored / game
112.1
110.4
Points allowed / game
123.3
45.9 %
Field goal %
48.0 %
37.9 %
3-point %
28.5 %
36.4
3-pointers attempted / game
31.6
74.4 %
Free throw %
83.1 %
46.8
Rebounds / game
40.0
27.0
Assists / game
25.8
8.0
Steals / game
7.4
7.2
Blocks / game
5.6
15.6
Turnovers / game
13.6

Top performers

Pistons
Jalen DurenC · #024pts / game
Caris LeVertG · #126assists
Jalen DurenC · #011rebounds
Wizards
Tristan VukcevicF · #0021pts / game
Bub CarringtonG · #74assists
Sharife CooperG · #137rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
DET
No games played yet.
WSH
No games played yet.

Team comparison

DETWSH
49-19Record16-52
117.1Points scored / game112.1
110.4Points allowed / game123.3
+5.7Adjusted margin / game-9.5
W1Current streakL13
5-5Last 10 games0-10
23-11 roadHome / road record11-24 home
44-38 (+1.9)Last season18-64 (-12.4)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

Detroit Pistons Injury report Pistons

No injuries reported.

Washington Wizards Injury report Wizards

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.