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Wizards vs Pistons prediction NBA · Monday, November 10

FinalLittle Caesars Arena · Peacock, FanDuel SN DET
10% win WSHwin DET 90%
FavoriteDET
Projected margin16.0
Projected total229
ConfidenceHigh

At a glance

The Detroit Pistons (8-2) host the Washington Wizards (1-9) on Monday, November 10 at 7:00 PM ET at Little Caesars Arena in NBA action. Final score: Wizards 135 – Pistons 137. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Pistons a 90% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Pistons are 4-1 at home and the Wizards are 1-4 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 8-2 for the Pistons and 1-9 for the Wizards (current streaks: Pistons W6, Wizards L8).

The analysis Model

The Pistons start with a clear edge. The model projects Pistons 123 – 107 Wizards, a margin of about 16.0 points in favor of the Pistons and a total around 229 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. The Pistons played yesterday: fatigue often shows in the fourth quarter.

  • The overall strength gap (+3.0 vs -12.3 pts/game) is the main factor.
  • The Wizards need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Pistons' offense (115.8 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
  • The Pistons' defense allows clearly fewer points (112.2 pts/game).

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Pistons
Team strength (adjusted point differential)DET +3.0 / WSH -12.3 per game
+15.3
Home-court advantagePistons at home
+2.3
Back-to-backPistons played yesterday
-1.6
Expected marginfor Pistons
+16.0

Scenarios

Pistons win by 10+
69%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
14%
Wizards win by 10+
2%

Stat comparison Current season

WSHDET
109.6
Points scored / game
115.8
124.1
Points allowed / game
112.2
48.0 %
Field goal %
45.9 %
28.5 %
3-point %
37.9 %
31.6
3-pointers attempted / game
36.4
83.1 %
Free throw %
74.4 %
40.0
Rebounds / game
46.8
25.8
Assists / game
27.0
7.4
Steals / game
8.0
5.6
Blocks / game
7.2
13.6
Turnovers / game
15.6

Top performers

Wizards
CJ McCollumG · #342pts / game
Kyshawn GeorgeF · #186assists
Alex SarrC · #2015rebounds
Pistons
Cade CunninghamG · #246pts / game
Cade CunninghamG · #211assists
Jalen DurenC · #014rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
WSH
No games played yet.
DET
No games played yet.

Team comparison

WSHDET
1-9Record8-2
109.6Points scored / game115.8
124.1Points allowed / game112.2
-12.3Adjusted margin / game+3.0
L8Current streakW6
1-9Last 10 games8-2
1-4 roadHome / road record4-1 home
18-64 (-12.4)Last season44-38 (+1.9)
NoPlayed yesterdayYes

Washington Wizards Injury report Wizards

No injuries reported.

Detroit Pistons Injury report Pistons

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.