Pistons vs Wizards prediction NBA · Tuesday, March 17
At a glance
The Washington Wizards (16-51) host the Detroit Pistons (48-19) on Tuesday, March 17 at 7:00 PM ET at Capital One Arena in NBA action. Final score: Pistons 130 – Wizards 117. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Pistons a 88% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Wizards are 11-23 at home and the Pistons are 22-11 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 0-10 for the Wizards and 5-5 for the Pistons (current streaks: Wizards L12, Pistons L1).
The analysis Model
The Pistons start with a clear edge. The model projects Wizards 108 – 122 Pistons, a margin of about 14.5 points in favor of the Pistons and a total around 230 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. The Wizards played yesterday: fatigue often shows in the fourth quarter.
- The overall strength gap (-9.5 vs +5.6 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The Wizards need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Pistons' offense (117.0 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
- The Pistons' defense allows clearly fewer points (110.3 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
DETWSH
Top performers
Pistons
Jalen DurenC · #036pts / game
Daniss JenkinsG · #247assistsJalen DurenC · #011reboundsWizards
Bub CarringtonG · #730pts / game
Sharife CooperG · #136assists
Justin ChampagnieF · #99reboundsRecent form
DETWSHHead-to-head
DET lead 3-1 this season.
WSH
Team comparison
| DET | WSH | |
|---|---|---|
| 48-19 | Record | 16-51 |
| 117.0 | Points scored / game | 112.0 |
| 110.3 | Points allowed / game | 123.2 |
| +5.6 | Adjusted margin / game | -9.5 |
| L1 | Current streak | L12 |
| 5-5 | Last 10 games | 0-10 |
| 22-11 road | Home / road record | 11-23 home |
| 44-38 (+1.9) | Last season | 18-64 (-12.4) |
| No | Played yesterday | Yes |
Injury report Pistons
Injury report Wizards
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.