Wizards vs Pistons prediction NBA · Thursday, February 5
At a glance
The Detroit Pistons (37-12) host the Washington Wizards (13-36) on Thursday, February 5 at 7:00 PM ET at Little Caesars Arena in NBA action. Final score: Wizards 126 – Pistons 117. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Pistons a 91% chance to win: prediction missed. This season, the Pistons are 21-5 at home and the Wizards are 4-19 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 8-2 for the Pistons and 3-7 for the Wizards (current streaks: Pistons W3, Wizards L1).
The analysis Model
The Pistons start with a clear edge. The model projects Pistons 124 – 107 Wizards, a margin of about 17.1 points in favor of the Pistons and a total around 231 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.
- The overall strength gap (+5.5 vs -9.3 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The Wizards need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Pistons' offense (117.1 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
- The Pistons' defense allows clearly fewer points (110.7 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
WSHDET
Top performers
Wizards
Will RileyG · #2720pts / gameWill RileyG · #275assists
Justin ChampagnieF · #97reboundsPistons
Cade CunninghamG · #230pts / gameCade CunninghamG · #28assists
Ronald Holland IIF · #510reboundsRecent form
WSHDETHead-to-head
DET lead 3-1 this season.
WSH
Team comparison
| WSH | DET | |
|---|---|---|
| 13-36 | Record | 37-12 |
| 111.3 | Points scored / game | 117.1 |
| 122.3 | Points allowed / game | 110.7 |
| -9.3 | Adjusted margin / game | +5.5 |
| L1 | Current streak | W3 |
| 3-7 | Last 10 games | 8-2 |
| 4-19 road | Home / road record | 21-5 home |
| 18-64 (-12.4) | Last season | 44-38 (+1.9) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Wizards
Injury report Pistons
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.