Spurs vs Kings prediction NBA · Tuesday, March 17
At a glance
The Sacramento Kings (18-51) host the San Antonio Spurs (50-19) on Tuesday, March 17 at 10:00 PM ET at Golden 1 Center in NBA action. Final score: Spurs 132 – Kings 104. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Spurs a 73% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Kings are 12-23 at home and the Spurs are 24-12 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 5-5 for the Kings and 8-2 for the Spurs (current streaks: Kings W2, Spurs W2).
The analysis Model
On paper, the Spurs dominate this matchup. The model projects Kings 111 – 119 Spurs, a margin of about 7.6 points in favor of the Spurs and a total around 230 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. The Spurs played yesterday: fatigue often shows in the fourth quarter.
- The overall strength gap (-7.0 vs +4.5 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The Kings need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Spurs' offense (118.0 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
- The Spurs' defense allows clearly fewer points (112.7 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
SASAC
Top performers
Spurs
Victor WembanyamaF · #118pts / game
Stephon CastleG · #512assists
Luke KornetC · #710reboundsKings
Maxime RaynaudC · #4232pts / game
Russell WestbrookG · #1810assistsMaxime RaynaudC · #429reboundsRecent form
SASAC
SAC
Team comparison
| SA | SAC | |
|---|---|---|
| 50-19 | Record | 18-51 |
| 118.0 | Points scored / game | 111.6 |
| 112.7 | Points allowed / game | 119.8 |
| +4.5 | Adjusted margin / game | -7.0 |
| W2 | Current streak | W2 |
| 8-2 | Last 10 games | 5-5 |
| 24-12 road | Home / road record | 12-23 home |
| 34-48 (-2.8) | Last season | 40-42 (+0.5) |
| Yes | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Spurs
Injury report Kings
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.