Kings vs Spurs prediction NBA · Saturday, February 21
At a glance
The San Antonio Spurs (39-17) host the Sacramento Kings (12-45) on Saturday, February 21 at 8:00 PM ET at Moody Center in NBA action. Final score: Kings 122 – Spurs 139. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Spurs a 86% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Spurs are 20-6 at home and the Kings are 3-25 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 8-2 for the Spurs and 0-10 for the Kings (current streaks: Spurs W7, Kings L15).
The analysis Model
The Spurs start with a clear edge. The model projects Spurs 122 – 108 Kings, a margin of about 13.7 points in favor of the Spurs and a total around 230 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.
- The overall strength gap (+3.8 vs -7.6 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The Kings need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Spurs' offense (117.4 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
- The Spurs' defense allows clearly fewer points (112.9 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
SACSA
Top performers
Kings
Keegan MurrayF · #1320pts / game
Malik MonkG · #06assists
Maxime RaynaudC · #4212reboundsSpurs
Victor WembanyamaF · #128pts / gameVictor WembanyamaF · #16assistsVictor WembanyamaF · #115reboundsRecent form
SACSA
SAC
Team comparison
| SAC | SA | |
|---|---|---|
| 12-45 | Record | 39-17 |
| 110.9 | Points scored / game | 117.4 |
| 119.8 | Points allowed / game | 112.9 |
| -7.6 | Adjusted margin / game | +3.8 |
| L15 | Current streak | W7 |
| 0-10 | Last 10 games | 8-2 |
| 3-25 road | Home / road record | 20-6 home |
| 40-42 (+0.5) | Last season | 34-48 (-2.8) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Kings
Injury report Spurs
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.