Kings vs Spurs prediction NBA · Sunday, November 16
At a glance
The San Antonio Spurs (8-4) host the Sacramento Kings (3-10) on Sunday, November 16 at 4:00 PM ET at Frost Bank Center in NBA action. Final score: Kings 110 – Spurs 123. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Spurs a 75% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Spurs are 5-2 at home and the Kings are 1-5 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 6-4 for the Spurs and 2-8 for the Kings (current streaks: Spurs L2, Kings L5).
The analysis Model
On paper, the Spurs dominate this matchup. The model projects Spurs 121 – 112 Kings, a margin of about 8.6 points in favor of the Spurs and a total around 233 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game.
- The overall strength gap (+1.4 vs -4.8 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The Kings need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Spurs' defense allows clearly fewer points (114.5 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
SACSA
Top performers
Kings
DeMar DeRozanG · #1027pts / game
Russell WestbrookG · #187assists
Domantas SabonisF · #1113reboundsSpurs
De'Aaron FoxG · #428pts / gameDe'Aaron FoxG · #411assists
Keldon JohnsonF · #312reboundsRecent form
SACSA
SAC
Team comparison
| SAC | SA | |
|---|---|---|
| 3-10 | Record | 8-4 |
| 114.4 | Points scored / game | 116.2 |
| 120.0 | Points allowed / game | 114.5 |
| -4.8 | Adjusted margin / game | +1.4 |
| L5 | Current streak | L2 |
| 2-8 | Last 10 games | 6-4 |
| 1-5 road | Home / road record | 5-2 home |
| 40-42 (+0.5) | Last season | 34-48 (-2.8) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Kings
Injury report Spurs
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.