Cavaliers vs Bucks prediction NBA · Tuesday, March 17
At a glance
The Milwaukee Bucks (28-39) host the Cleveland Cavaliers (41-27) on Tuesday, March 17 at 8:00 PM ET at Fiserv Forum in NBA action. Final score: Cavaliers 123 – Bucks 116. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Cavaliers a 66% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Bucks are 16-18 at home and the Cavaliers are 19-14 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 2-8 for the Bucks and 5-5 for the Cavaliers (current streaks: Bucks W1, Cavaliers L1).
The analysis Model
The Cavaliers are favored, but the gap isn't huge. The model projects Bucks 113 – 118 Cavaliers, a margin of about 5.2 points in favor of the Cavaliers and a total around 231 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.
- The overall strength gap (-3.2 vs +4.3 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The Bucks need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Cavaliers' offense (119.5 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
CLEMIL
Top performers
Cavaliers
Evan MobleyC · #427pts / game
James HardenG · #16assistsEvan MobleyC · #415reboundsBucks
Kevin Porter Jr.G · #725pts / gameKevin Porter Jr.G · #710assists
Bobby PortisF · #959reboundsRecent form
CLEMILHead-to-head
CLE lead 3-1 this season.
MIL
Team comparison
| CLE | MIL | |
|---|---|---|
| 41-27 | Record | 28-39 |
| 119.5 | Points scored / game | 111.8 |
| 114.5 | Points allowed / game | 115.6 |
| +4.3 | Adjusted margin / game | -3.2 |
| L1 | Current streak | W1 |
| 5-5 | Last 10 games | 2-8 |
| 19-14 road | Home / road record | 16-18 home |
| 64-18 (+9.5) | Last season | 48-34 (+2.5) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Cavaliers
Injury report Bucks
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.