Bucks vs Cavaliers prediction NBA · Monday, November 17
At a glance
The Cleveland Cavaliers (9-5) host the Milwaukee Bucks (8-6) on Monday, November 17 at 7:00 PM ET at Rocket Arena in NBA action. Final score: Bucks 106 – Cavaliers 118. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Cavaliers a 72% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Cavaliers are 5-2 at home and the Bucks are 3-3 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 6-4 for the Cavaliers and 5-5 for the Bucks (current streaks: Cavaliers W1, Bucks L1).
The analysis Model
The Cavaliers are favored, but the gap isn't huge. The model projects Cavaliers 121 – 114 Bucks, a margin of about 7.2 points in favor of the Cavaliers and a total around 235 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game.
- The overall strength gap (+5.7 vs +0.8 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The Bucks need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Cavaliers' offense (121.5 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
MILCLE
Top performers
Bucks
Ryan RollinsG · #1324pts / game
Cole AnthonyG · #508assists
Myles TurnerC · #37reboundsCavaliers
Donovan MitchellG · #4537pts / gameDonovan MitchellG · #457assists
Dean WadeF · #458reboundsRecent form
MILCLEHead-to-head
CLE lead 3-1 this season.
MIL
Team comparison
| MIL | CLE | |
|---|---|---|
| 8-6 | Record | 9-5 |
| 117.1 | Points scored / game | 121.5 |
| 116.1 | Points allowed / game | 114.8 |
| +0.8 | Adjusted margin / game | +5.7 |
| L1 | Current streak | W1 |
| 5-5 | Last 10 games | 6-4 |
| 3-3 road | Home / road record | 5-2 home |
| 48-34 (+2.5) | Last season | 64-18 (+9.5) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Bucks
Injury report Cavaliers
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.