Cavaliers vs Bucks prediction NBA · Wednesday, February 25
At a glance
The Milwaukee Bucks (25-31) host the Cleveland Cavaliers (37-22) on Wednesday, February 25 at 8:00 PM ET at Fiserv Forum in NBA action. Final score: Cavaliers 116 – Bucks 118. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Cavaliers a 63% chance to win: prediction missed. This season, the Bucks are 13-13 at home and the Cavaliers are 17-11 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 7-3 for the Bucks and 8-2 for the Cavaliers (current streaks: Bucks W1, Cavaliers W1).
The analysis Model
Slight edge to the Cavaliers, but the Bucks have what it takes to keep it close. The model projects Bucks 113 – 117 Cavaliers, a margin of about 4.1 points in favor of the Cavaliers and a total around 230 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. The Bucks and the Cavaliers played yesterday: fatigue often shows in the fourth quarter.
- The overall strength gap (-1.8 vs +4.5 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The Bucks need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Cavaliers' offense (119.9 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
CLEMIL
Top performers
Cavaliers
Jarrett AllenC · #3127pts / game
Craig Porter Jr.G · #99assistsJarrett AllenC · #3111reboundsBucks
Kevin Porter Jr.G · #720pts / game
Ryan RollinsG · #139assists
Jericho SimsC · #0011reboundsRecent form
CLEMILHead-to-head
CLE lead 3-1 this season.
MIL
Team comparison
| CLE | MIL | |
|---|---|---|
| 37-22 | Record | 25-31 |
| 119.9 | Points scored / game | 112.8 |
| 114.6 | Points allowed / game | 115.0 |
| +4.5 | Adjusted margin / game | -1.8 |
| W1 | Current streak | W1 |
| 8-2 | Last 10 games | 7-3 |
| 17-11 road | Home / road record | 13-13 home |
| 64-18 (+9.5) | Last season | 48-34 (+2.5) |
| Yes | Played yesterday | Yes |
Injury report Cavaliers
Injury report Bucks
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.