Match analysisToday's gamesNBA standingsEuroLeagueTrack record
← Back

Bucks vs Cavaliers prediction NBA · Sunday, October 26

FinalRocket Arena · NBA League Pass, FanDuel SN WI, FanDuel SN OH
31% win MILwin CLE 69%
FavoriteCLE
Projected margin6.2
Projected total233
ConfidenceMedium

At a glance

The Cleveland Cavaliers (1-1) host the Milwaukee Bucks (2-0) on Sunday, October 26 at 6:00 PM ET at Rocket Arena in NBA action. Final score: Bucks 113 – Cavaliers 118. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Cavaliers a 69% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Bucks are 1-0 on the road. Since the start of the season: 1-1 for the Cavaliers and 2-0 for the Bucks (current streaks: Cavaliers W1, Bucks W2).

The analysis Model

The Cavaliers are favored, but the gap isn't huge. The model projects Cavaliers 120 – 114 Bucks, a margin of about 6.2 points in favor of the Cavaliers and a total around 233 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game. Early season: the numbers still lean heavily on last season, so confidence stays cautious.

  • The Bucks need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Cavaliers' offense (121.8 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Cavaliers
Team strength (adjusted point differential)CLE +6.9 / MIL +3.0 per game
+3.9
Home-court advantageCavaliers at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Cavaliers
+6.2

Scenarios

Cavaliers win by 10+
38%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
28%
Bucks win by 10+
10%

Stat comparison Current season

MILCLE
117.2
Points scored / game
121.8
113.7
Points allowed / game
113.7
44.9 %
Field goal %
46.8 %
34.0 %
3-point %
36.7 %
41.2
3-pointers attempted / game
37.5
71.6 %
Free throw %
79.3 %
49.8
Rebounds / game
47.0
24.6
Assists / game
26.3
5.8
Steals / game
8.8
4.0
Blocks / game
7.5
16.8
Turnovers / game
17.3

Top performers

Bucks
Giannis AntetokounmpoF · #740pts / game
Giannis AntetokounmpoF · #79assists
Giannis AntetokounmpoF · #714rebounds
Cavaliers
Donovan MitchellG · #4524pts / game
Evan MobleyC · #46assists
Jarrett AllenC · #3111rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
MIL
No games played yet.
CLE
No games played yet.

Team comparison

MILCLE
2-0Record1-1
117.2Points scored / game121.8
113.7Points allowed / game113.7
+3.0Adjusted margin / game+6.9
W2Current streakW1
2-0Last 10 games1-1
1-0 roadHome / road record0-0 home
48-34 (+2.5)Last season64-18 (+9.5)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

Milwaukee Bucks Injury report Bucks

No injuries reported.

Cleveland Cavaliers Injury report Cavaliers

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data; early in the season they rely heavily on last season. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.