Pacers vs Knicks prediction NBA · Tuesday, March 17
At a glance
The New York Knicks (45-25) host the Indiana Pacers (15-53) on Tuesday, March 17 at 7:30 PM ET at Madison Square Garden in NBA action. Final score: Pacers 110 – Knicks 136. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Knicks a 86% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Knicks are 25-9 at home and the Pacers are 5-29 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 7-3 for the Knicks and 0-10 for the Pacers (current streaks: Knicks W3, Pacers L13).
The analysis Model
On paper, the Knicks dominate this matchup. The model projects Knicks 121 – 108 Pacers, a margin of about 13.4 points in favor of the Knicks and a total around 229 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.
- The overall strength gap (+5.1 vs -6.0 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The Pacers need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Knicks' offense (116.8 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
- The Knicks' defense allows clearly fewer points (110.8 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
INDNY
Top performers
Pacers
Jarace WalkerF · #516pts / game
T.J. McConnellG · #910assists
Ivica ZubacC · #407reboundsKnicks
Josh HartG · #333pts / game
Jose AlvaradoG · #510assists
Karl-Anthony TownsC · #3211reboundsRecent form
INDNYHead-to-head
NY lead 3-1 this season.
NY
Team comparison
| IND | NY | |
|---|---|---|
| 15-53 | Record | 45-25 |
| 112.1 | Points scored / game | 116.8 |
| 119.2 | Points allowed / game | 110.8 |
| -6.0 | Adjusted margin / game | +5.1 |
| L13 | Current streak | W3 |
| 0-10 | Last 10 games | 7-3 |
| 5-29 road | Home / road record | 25-9 home |
| 50-32 (+2.2) | Last season | 51-31 (+4.1) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Pacers
Injury report Knicks
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.