Knicks vs Pacers prediction NBA · Thursday, December 18
At a glance
The Indiana Pacers (6-20) host the New York Knicks (19-7) on Thursday, December 18 at 7:00 PM ET at Gainbridge Fieldhouse in NBA action. Final score: Knicks 114 – Pacers 113. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Knicks a 74% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Pacers are 5-9 at home and the Knicks are 5-6 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 4-6 for the Pacers and 9-1 for the Knicks (current streaks: Pacers L2, Knicks W6).
The analysis Model
On paper, the Knicks dominate this matchup. The model projects Pacers 111 – 119 Knicks, a margin of about 8.1 points in favor of the Knicks and a total around 231 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.
- The overall strength gap (-4.1 vs +6.2 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The Pacers need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Knicks' offense (119.4 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
- The Knicks' defense allows clearly fewer points (112.1 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
NYIND
Top performers
Knicks
Jalen BrunsonG · #1125pts / game
Tyler KolekG · #1311assists
Mikal BridgesG · #258reboundsPacers
Andrew NembhardG · #231pts / game
Pascal SiakamF · #435assists
Jay HuffC · #3210reboundsRecent form
NYINDHead-to-head
NY lead 3-1 this season.
NY
Team comparison
| NY | IND | |
|---|---|---|
| 19-7 | Record | 6-20 |
| 119.4 | Points scored / game | 112.4 |
| 112.1 | Points allowed / game | 117.3 |
| +6.2 | Adjusted margin / game | -4.1 |
| W6 | Current streak | L2 |
| 9-1 | Last 10 games | 4-6 |
| 5-6 road | Home / road record | 5-9 home |
| 51-31 (+4.1) | Last season | 50-32 (+2.2) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Knicks
Injury report Pacers
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.