Knicks vs Pacers prediction NBA · Friday, March 13
At a glance
The Indiana Pacers (15-51) host the New York Knicks (43-25) on Friday, March 13 at 7:30 PM ET at Gainbridge Fieldhouse in NBA action. Final score: Knicks 101 – Pacers 92. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Knicks a 80% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Pacers are 10-23 at home and the Knicks are 19-16 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 0-10 for the Pacers and 6-4 for the Knicks (current streaks: Pacers L11, Knicks W1).
The analysis Model
On paper, the Knicks dominate this matchup. The model projects Pacers 109 – 119 Knicks, a margin of about 10.3 points in favor of the Knicks and a total around 228 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. The Pacers played yesterday: fatigue often shows in the fourth quarter.
- The overall strength gap (-5.9 vs +5.1 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The Pacers need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Knicks' offense (117.1 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
- The Knicks' defense allows clearly fewer points (111.1 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
NYIND
Top performers
Knicks
Jalen BrunsonG · #1129pts / gameJalen BrunsonG · #119assists
Mitchell RobinsonC · #422reboundsPacers
Jarace WalkerF · #518pts / game
Andrew NembhardG · #27assistsJarace WalkerF · #59reboundsRecent form
NYINDHead-to-head
NY lead 3-1 this season.
NY
Team comparison
| NY | IND | |
|---|---|---|
| 43-25 | Record | 15-51 |
| 117.1 | Points scored / game | 112.2 |
| 111.1 | Points allowed / game | 119.2 |
| +5.1 | Adjusted margin / game | -5.9 |
| W1 | Current streak | L11 |
| 6-4 | Last 10 games | 0-10 |
| 19-16 road | Home / road record | 10-23 home |
| 51-31 (+4.1) | Last season | 50-32 (+2.2) |
| No | Played yesterday | Yes |
Injury report Knicks
Injury report Pacers
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.