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Pacers vs Knicks prediction NBA · Tuesday, February 10

FinalMadison Square Garden · FanDuel SN IN, NBA League Pass, MSG, DAZN (MSG)
17% win INDwin NY 83%
FavoriteNY
Projected margin12.0
Projected total229
ConfidenceHigh

At a glance

The New York Knicks (35-19) host the Indiana Pacers (13-40) on Tuesday, February 10 at 7:30 PM ET at Madison Square Garden in NBA action. Final score: Pacers 137 – Knicks 134. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Knicks a 83% chance to win: prediction missed. This season, the Knicks are 22-6 at home and the Pacers are 3-22 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 9-1 for the Knicks and 3-7 for the Pacers (current streaks: Knicks W1, Pacers L4).

The analysis Model

The Knicks start with a clear edge. The model projects Knicks 121 – 109 Pacers, a margin of about 12.0 points in favor of the Knicks and a total around 229 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.

  • The overall strength gap (+4.6 vs -5.1 pts/game) is the main factor.
  • The Pacers need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Knicks' offense (117.2 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
  • The Knicks' defense allows clearly fewer points (111.8 pts/game).

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Knicks
Team strength (adjusted point differential)NY +4.6 / IND -5.1 per game
+9.7
Home-court advantageKnicks at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Knicks
+12.0

Scenarios

Knicks win by 10+
56%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
20%
Pacers win by 10+
4%

Stat comparison Current season

INDNY
111.8
Points scored / game
117.2
117.9
Points allowed / game
111.8
47.1 %
Field goal %
42.2 %
31.2 %
3-point %
35.9 %
37.8
3-pointers attempted / game
39.0
72.7 %
Free throw %
75.8 %
44.0
Rebounds / game
48.2
29.4
Assists / game
26.8
6.4
Steals / game
7.2
4.8
Blocks / game
4.4
14.8
Turnovers / game
14.8

Top performers

Pacers
Pascal SiakamF · #4330pts / game
Andrew NembhardG · #210assists
Aaron NesmithG · #238rebounds
Knicks
Jalen BrunsonG · #1140pts / game
Josh HartG · #311assists
Karl-Anthony TownsC · #3214rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
IND
No games played yet.
NY
No games played yet.

Team comparison

INDNY
13-40Record35-19
111.8Points scored / game117.2
117.9Points allowed / game111.8
-5.1Adjusted margin / game+4.6
L4Current streakW1
3-7Last 10 games9-1
3-22 roadHome / road record22-6 home
50-32 (+2.2)Last season51-31 (+4.1)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

Indiana Pacers Injury report Pacers

No injuries reported.

New York Knicks Injury report Knicks

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.