Mavericks vs Pelicans prediction NBA · Monday, March 16
At a glance
The New Orleans Pelicans (22-46) host the Dallas Mavericks (23-45) on Monday, March 16 at 8:00 PM ET at Smoothie King Center in NBA action. Final score: Mavericks 111 – Pelicans 129. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Pelicans a 60% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Pelicans are 13-21 at home and the Mavericks are 9-25 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 6-4 for the Pelicans and 2-8 for the Mavericks (current streaks: Pelicans L1, Mavericks W1).
The analysis Model
Slight edge to the Pelicans, but the Mavericks have what it takes to keep it close. The model projects Pelicans 117 – 114 Mavericks, a margin of about 3.2 points in favor of the Pelicans and a total around 231 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. The Mavericks played yesterday: fatigue often shows in the fourth quarter.
- The Mavericks need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
DALNO
Top performers
Mavericks
Naji MarshallF · #332pts / game
Cooper FlaggF · #328assists
Marvin Bagley IIIF · #39reboundsPelicans
Zion WilliamsonF · #127pts / game
Trey Murphy IIIF · #257assists
Karlo MatkovicF · #1710reboundsRecent form
DALNOHead-to-head
NO lead 3-1 this season.
NO
Team comparison
| DAL | NO | |
|---|---|---|
| 23-45 | Record | 22-46 |
| 113.3 | Points scored / game | 114.6 |
| 117.7 | Points allowed / game | 119.8 |
| -3.7 | Adjusted margin / game | -4.4 |
| W1 | Current streak | L1 |
| 2-8 | Last 10 games | 6-4 |
| 9-25 road | Home / road record | 13-21 home |
| 39-43 (-1.2) | Last season | 21-61 (-9.4) |
| Yes | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Mavericks
Injury report Pelicans
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.