Mavericks vs Pelicans prediction NBA · Monday, December 22
At a glance
The New Orleans Pelicans (7-22) host the Dallas Mavericks (11-18) on Monday, December 22 at 8:00 PM ET at Smoothie King Center in NBA action. Final score: Mavericks 113 – Pelicans 119. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Mavericks a 56% chance to win: prediction missed. This season, the Pelicans are 5-12 at home and the Mavericks are 3-9 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 4-6 for the Pelicans and 6-4 for the Mavericks (current streaks: Pelicans W4, Mavericks L1).
The analysis Model
Close to a coin flip: nothing really sets either side apart. The model projects Pelicans 115 – 117 Mavericks, a margin of about 1.8 points in favor of the Mavericks and a total around 233 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game.
- The overall strength gap (-6.7 vs -2.6 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The Pelicans need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Mavericks' defense allows clearly fewer points (116.4 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
DALNO
Top performers
Mavericks
Anthony DavisF · #2335pts / game
Ryan NembhardG · #98assistsAnthony DavisF · #2317reboundsPelicans
Zion WilliamsonF · #124pts / game
Derik QueenC · #226assistsDerik QueenC · #2210reboundsRecent form
DALNOHead-to-head
NO lead 3-1 this season.
NO
Team comparison
| DAL | NO | |
|---|---|---|
| 11-18 | Record | 7-22 |
| 113.4 | Points scored / game | 113.7 |
| 116.4 | Points allowed / game | 121.6 |
| -2.6 | Adjusted margin / game | -6.7 |
| L1 | Current streak | W4 |
| 6-4 | Last 10 games | 4-6 |
| 3-9 road | Home / road record | 5-12 home |
| 39-43 (-1.2) | Last season | 21-61 (-9.4) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Mavericks
Injury report Pelicans
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.