Pelicans vs Mavericks prediction NBA · Wednesday, November 5
At a glance
The Dallas Mavericks (2-5) host the New Orleans Pelicans (1-6) on Wednesday, November 5 at 8:30 PM ET at American Airlines Center in NBA action. Final score: Pelicans 101 – Mavericks 99. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Mavericks a 80% chance to win: prediction missed. This season, the Mavericks are 2-3 at home and the Pelicans are 0-4 on the road. Since the start of the season: 2-5 for the Mavericks and 1-6 for the Pelicans (current streaks: Mavericks L2, Pelicans W1).
The analysis Model
The Mavericks start with a clear edge. The model projects Mavericks 119 – 108 Pelicans, a margin of about 10.4 points in favor of the Mavericks and a total around 227 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. The Pelicans played yesterday: fatigue often shows in the fourth quarter.
- The overall strength gap (-3.2 vs -9.8 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The Pelicans need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Mavericks' defense allows clearly fewer points (115.5 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
NODAL
Top performers
Pelicans
Saddiq BeyG · #4122pts / game
Trey Murphy IIIF · #255assistsSaddiq BeyG · #419reboundsMavericks
Cooper FlaggF · #3220pts / game
Naji MarshallF · #35assists
P.J. WashingtonF · #2511reboundsRecent form
NODALHead-to-head
NO lead 3-1 this season.
NO
Team comparison
| NO | DAL | |
|---|---|---|
| 1-6 | Record | 2-5 |
| 109.5 | Points scored / game | 111.6 |
| 121.0 | Points allowed / game | 115.5 |
| -9.8 | Adjusted margin / game | -3.2 |
| W1 | Current streak | L2 |
| 1-6 | Last 10 games | 2-5 |
| 0-4 road | Home / road record | 2-3 home |
| 21-61 (-9.4) | Last season | 39-43 (-1.2) |
| Yes | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Pelicans
Injury report Mavericks
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.