Pelicans vs Mavericks prediction NBA · Friday, November 21
At a glance
The Dallas Mavericks (4-12) host the New Orleans Pelicans (2-13) on Friday, November 21 at 8:30 PM ET at American Airlines Center in NBA action. Final score: Pelicans 115 – Mavericks 118. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Mavericks a 75% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Mavericks are 3-8 at home and the Pelicans are 1-6 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 2-8 for the Mavericks and 2-8 for the Pelicans (current streaks: Mavericks L2, Pelicans L7).
The analysis Model
The Mavericks start with a clear edge. The model projects Mavericks 119 – 110 Pelicans, a margin of about 8.4 points in favor of the Mavericks and a total around 229 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.
- The overall strength gap (-3.7 vs -9.8 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The Pelicans need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Mavericks' defense allows clearly fewer points (116.3 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
NODAL
Top performers
Pelicans
Trey Murphy IIIF · #2525pts / game
Derik QueenC · #2211assists
Herbert JonesF · #29reboundsMavericks
Cooper FlaggF · #3229pts / game
Brandon WilliamsG · #1212assists
P.J. WashingtonF · #259reboundsRecent form
NODALHead-to-head
NO lead 3-1 this season.
NO
Team comparison
| NO | DAL | |
|---|---|---|
| 2-13 | Record | 4-12 |
| 109.3 | Points scored / game | 112.0 |
| 120.8 | Points allowed / game | 116.3 |
| -9.8 | Adjusted margin / game | -3.7 |
| L7 | Current streak | L2 |
| 2-8 | Last 10 games | 2-8 |
| 1-6 road | Home / road record | 3-8 home |
| 21-61 (-9.4) | Last season | 39-43 (-1.2) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Pelicans
Injury report Mavericks
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.