Magic vs Heat prediction NBA · Saturday, March 14
At a glance
The Miami Heat (38-29) host the Orlando Magic (37-28) on Saturday, March 14 at 8:00 PM ET at Kaseya Center in NBA action. Final score: Magic 121 – Heat 117. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Heat a 63% chance to win: prediction missed. This season, the Heat are 23-11 at home and the Magic are 15-16 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 8-2 for the Heat and 8-2 for the Magic (current streaks: Heat W7, Magic W6).
The analysis Model
Slight edge to the Heat, but the Magic have what it takes to keep it close. The model projects Heat 117 – 113 Magic, a margin of about 4.1 points in favor of the Heat and a total around 231 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.
- The Magic need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Heat's offense (119.0 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
ORLMIA
Top performers
Magic
Paolo BancheroF · #527pts / gamePaolo BancheroF · #57assistsPaolo BancheroF · #58reboundsHeat
Jaime Jaquez Jr.F · #2422pts / gameJaime Jaquez Jr.F · #247assists
Kel'el WareC · #910reboundsRecent form
ORLMIAHead-to-head
ORL lead 5-0 this season.
MIA
Team comparison
| ORL | MIA | |
|---|---|---|
| 37-28 | Record | 38-29 |
| 114.0 | Points scored / game | 119.0 |
| 112.7 | Points allowed / game | 115.5 |
| +1.1 | Adjusted margin / game | +2.9 |
| W6 | Current streak | W7 |
| 8-2 | Last 10 games | 8-2 |
| 15-16 road | Home / road record | 23-11 home |
| 41-41 (-0.1) | Last season | 37-45 (+0.6) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Magic
Injury report Heat
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.