Heat vs Magic prediction NBA · Tuesday, December 9
At a glance
The Orlando Magic (14-10) host the Miami Heat (14-10) on Tuesday, December 9 at 6:00 PM ET at Kia Center in NBA action. Final score: Heat 108 – Magic 117. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Magic a 57% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Magic are 9-4 at home and the Heat are 4-7 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 7-3 for the Magic and 6-4 for the Heat (current streaks: Magic L1, Heat L3).
The analysis Model
Close to a coin flip: nothing really sets either side apart. The model projects Magic 116 – 114 Heat, a margin of about 2.2 points in favor of the Magic and a total around 229 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.
- The Heat need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Heat's offense (118.4 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
- The Magic's defense allows clearly fewer points (110.9 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
MIAORL
Top performers
Heat
Norman PowellG · #2421pts / game
Davion MitchellG · #29assists
Bam AdebayoC · #138reboundsMagic
Desmond BaneG · #337pts / game
Anthony BlackG · #07assists
Wendell Carter Jr.C · #3410reboundsRecent form
MIAORLHead-to-head
ORL lead 5-0 this season.
MIA
Team comparison
| MIA | ORL | |
|---|---|---|
| 14-10 | Record | 14-10 |
| 118.4 | Points scored / game | 113.7 |
| 115.5 | Points allowed / game | 110.9 |
| +2.4 | Adjusted margin / game | +2.4 |
| L3 | Current streak | L1 |
| 6-4 | Last 10 games | 7-3 |
| 4-7 road | Home / road record | 9-4 home |
| 37-45 (+0.6) | Last season | 41-41 (-0.1) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Heat
Injury report Magic
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.