Magic vs Heat prediction NBA · Wednesday, January 28
At a glance
The Miami Heat (25-22) host the Orlando Magic (23-22) on Wednesday, January 28 at 7:30 PM ET at Kaseya Center in NBA action. Final score: Magic 133 – Heat 124. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Heat a 62% chance to win: prediction missed. This season, the Heat are 15-7 at home and the Magic are 9-13 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 5-5 for the Heat and 4-6 for the Magic (current streaks: Heat W2, Magic L4).
The analysis Model
Slight edge to the Heat, but the Magic have what it takes to keep it close. The model projects Heat 117 – 113 Magic, a margin of about 3.8 points in favor of the Heat and a total around 230 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.
- The Magic need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Heat's offense (117.9 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
- The Magic's defense allows clearly fewer points (113.3 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
ORLMIA
Top performers
Magic
Paolo BancheroF · #531pts / game
Tyus JonesG · #59assistsPaolo BancheroF · #512reboundsHeat
Simone FontecchioF · #023pts / game
Bam AdebayoC · #137assistsBam AdebayoC · #1312reboundsRecent form
ORLMIAHead-to-head
ORL lead 5-0 this season.
MIA
Team comparison
| ORL | MIA | |
|---|---|---|
| 23-22 | Record | 25-22 |
| 113.0 | Points scored / game | 117.9 |
| 113.3 | Points allowed / game | 116.4 |
| -0.3 | Adjusted margin / game | +1.2 |
| L4 | Current streak | W2 |
| 4-6 | Last 10 games | 5-5 |
| 9-13 road | Home / road record | 15-7 home |
| 41-41 (-0.1) | Last season | 37-45 (+0.6) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Magic
Injury report Heat
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.