Heat vs Magic prediction NBA · Friday, December 5
At a glance
The Orlando Magic (13-9) host the Miami Heat (14-8) on Friday, December 5 at 7:00 PM ET at Kia Center in NBA action. Final score: Heat 105 – Magic 106. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Magic a 56% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Magic are 8-4 at home and the Heat are 4-6 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 7-3 for the Magic and 7-3 for the Heat (current streaks: Magic L1, Heat L1).
The analysis Model
A wide-open game: the model barely separates the two teams. The model projects Magic 116 – 114 Heat, a margin of about 1.9 points in favor of the Magic and a total around 230 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.
- The Heat need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Heat's offense (119.0 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
- The Magic's defense allows clearly fewer points (111.2 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
MIAORL
Top performers
Heat
Norman PowellG · #2428pts / game
Davion MitchellG · #27assists
Bam AdebayoC · #1315reboundsMagic
Franz WagnerF · #2232pts / game
Anthony BlackG · #06assistsAnthony BlackG · #08reboundsRecent form
MIAORLHead-to-head
ORL lead 5-0 this season.
MIA
Team comparison
| MIA | ORL | |
|---|---|---|
| 14-8 | Record | 13-9 |
| 119.0 | Points scored / game | 114.3 |
| 115.5 | Points allowed / game | 111.2 |
| +3.0 | Adjusted margin / game | +2.6 |
| L1 | Current streak | L1 |
| 7-3 | Last 10 games | 7-3 |
| 4-6 road | Home / road record | 8-4 home |
| 37-45 (+0.6) | Last season | 41-41 (-0.1) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Heat
Injury report Magic
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.