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Jazz vs Trail Blazers prediction NBA · Friday, March 13

FinalModa Center · KUNP 16, BlazerVision, KJZZ-TV, Jazz+, NBA League Pass
30% win UTAHwin POR 70%
FavoritePOR
Projected margin6.7
Projected total236
ConfidenceMedium

At a glance

The Portland Trail Blazers (31-35) host the Utah Jazz (20-46) on Friday, March 13 at 10:00 PM ET at Moda Center in NBA action. Final score: Jazz 114 – Trail Blazers 124. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Trail Blazers a 70% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Trail Blazers are 17-16 at home and the Jazz are 8-24 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 4-6 for the Trail Blazers and 2-8 for the Jazz (current streaks: Trail Blazers L1, Jazz L1).

The analysis Model

The Trail Blazers are favored, but the gap isn't huge. The model projects Trail Blazers 122 – 115 Jazz, a margin of about 6.7 points in favor of the Trail Blazers and a total around 236 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game.

  • The overall strength gap (-2.3 vs -6.7 pts/game) is the main factor.
  • The Jazz need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Trail Blazers' defense allows clearly fewer points (117.2 pts/game).

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Trail Blazers
Team strength (adjusted point differential)POR -2.3 / UTAH -6.7 per game
+4.4
Home-court advantageTrail Blazers at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Trail Blazers
+6.7

Scenarios

Trail Blazers win by 10+
40%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
27%
Jazz win by 10+
9%

Stat comparison Current season

UTAHPOR
116.6
Points scored / game
114.5
124.5
Points allowed / game
117.2
45.4 %
Field goal %
51.1 %
33.9 %
3-point %
38.9 %
34.8
3-pointers attempted / game
43.7
76.6 %
Free throw %
70.8 %
46.8
Rebounds / game
46.3
26.8
Assists / game
30.7
5.0
Steals / game
8.3
6.4
Blocks / game
2.7
17.0
Turnovers / game
13.3

Top performers

Jazz
Brice SensabaughF · #2831pts / game
Isaiah CollierG · #89assists
Cody WilliamsF · #97rebounds
Trail Blazers
Jrue HolidayG · #525pts / game
Jrue HolidayG · #58assists
Donovan ClinganC · #2315rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
UTAH
No games played yet.
POR
No games played yet.

Team comparison

UTAHPOR
20-46Record31-35
116.6Points scored / game114.5
124.5Points allowed / game117.2
-6.7Adjusted margin / game-2.3
L1Current streakL1
2-8Last 10 games4-6
8-24 roadHome / road record17-16 home
17-65 (-9.3)Last season36-46 (-3.0)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

Utah Jazz Injury report Jazz

No injuries reported.

Portland Trail Blazers Injury report Trail Blazers

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.