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Trail Blazers vs Jazz prediction NBA · Thursday, February 12

FinalDelta Center · KUNP 16, BlazerVision, NBA League Pass, KJZZ-TV, Jazz+
57% win PORwin UTAH 43%
FavoritePOR
Projected margin2.3
Projected total236
ConfidenceLow

At a glance

The Utah Jazz (18-37) host the Portland Trail Blazers (26-29) on Thursday, February 12 at 9:00 PM ET at Delta Center in NBA action. Final score: Trail Blazers 135 – Jazz 119. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Trail Blazers a 57% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Jazz are 11-17 at home and the Trail Blazers are 10-16 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 3-7 for the Jazz and 3-7 for the Trail Blazers (current streaks: Jazz W2, Trail Blazers L1).

The analysis Model

Close to a coin flip: nothing really sets either side apart. The model projects Jazz 117 – 119 Trail Blazers, a margin of about 2.3 points in favor of the Trail Blazers and a total around 236 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game. The Jazz and the Trail Blazers played yesterday: fatigue often shows in the fourth quarter.

  • The overall strength gap (-6.7 vs -2.1 pts/game) is the main factor.
  • The Jazz need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Trail Blazers' defense allows clearly fewer points (117.5 pts/game).

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Jazz
Team strength (adjusted point differential)UTAH -6.7 / POR -2.1 per game
-4.6
Home-court advantageJazz at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Jazz
-2.3

Scenarios

Jazz win by 10+
16%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
31%
Trail Blazers win by 10+
27%

Stat comparison Current season

PORUTAH
115.1
Points scored / game
117.1
117.5
Points allowed / game
125.0
51.1 %
Field goal %
45.4 %
38.9 %
3-point %
33.9 %
43.7
3-pointers attempted / game
34.8
70.8 %
Free throw %
76.6 %
46.3
Rebounds / game
46.8
30.7
Assists / game
26.8
8.3
Steals / game
5.0
2.7
Blocks / game
6.4
13.3
Turnovers / game
17.0

Top performers

Trail Blazers
Jrue HolidayG · #531pts / game
Jrue HolidayG · #57assists
Donovan ClinganC · #2318rebounds
Jazz
Brice SensabaughF · #2828pts / game
Isaiah CollierG · #89assists
Kyle FilipowskiF · #29rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
POR
No games played yet.
UTAH
No games played yet.

Team comparison

PORUTAH
26-29Record18-37
115.1Points scored / game117.1
117.5Points allowed / game125.0
-2.1Adjusted margin / game-6.7
L1Current streakW2
3-7Last 10 games3-7
10-16 roadHome / road record11-17 home
36-46 (-3.0)Last season17-65 (-9.3)
YesPlayed yesterdayYes

Portland Trail Blazers Injury report Trail Blazers

No injuries reported.

Utah Jazz Injury report Jazz

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.