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Jazz vs Trail Blazers prediction NBA · Monday, January 5

FinalModa Center · KUNP 16, BlazerVision, KJZZ-TV, Jazz+, NBA League Pass
31% win UTAHwin POR 69%
FavoritePOR
Projected margin6.0
Projected total238
ConfidenceMedium

At a glance

The Portland Trail Blazers (16-20) host the Utah Jazz (12-22) on Monday, January 5 at 10:00 PM ET at Moda Center in NBA action. Final score: Jazz 117 – Trail Blazers 137. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Trail Blazers a 69% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Trail Blazers are 7-9 at home and the Jazz are 4-11 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 6-4 for the Trail Blazers and 3-7 for the Jazz (current streaks: Trail Blazers W2, Jazz L3).

The analysis Model

The Trail Blazers are favored, but the gap isn't huge. The model projects Trail Blazers 122 – 116 Jazz, a margin of about 6.0 points in favor of the Trail Blazers and a total around 238 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game.

  • The Jazz need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Trail Blazers' defense allows clearly fewer points (118.2 pts/game).

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Trail Blazers
Team strength (adjusted point differential)POR -2.8 / UTAH -6.5 per game
+3.7
Home-court advantageTrail Blazers at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Trail Blazers
+6.0

Scenarios

Trail Blazers win by 10+
38%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
28%
Jazz win by 10+
10%

Stat comparison Current season

UTAHPOR
117.6
Points scored / game
115.0
125.3
Points allowed / game
118.2
45.4 %
Field goal %
51.1 %
33.9 %
3-point %
38.9 %
34.8
3-pointers attempted / game
43.7
76.6 %
Free throw %
70.8 %
46.8
Rebounds / game
46.3
26.8
Assists / game
30.7
5.0
Steals / game
8.3
6.4
Blocks / game
2.7
17.0
Turnovers / game
13.3

Top performers

Jazz
Lauri MarkkanenF · #2322pts / game
Isaiah CollierG · #88assists
Jusuf NurkicC · #3012rebounds
Trail Blazers
Deni AvdijaF · #833pts / game
Deni AvdijaF · #89assists
Donovan ClinganC · #2317rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
UTAH
No games played yet.
POR
No games played yet.

Team comparison

UTAHPOR
12-22Record16-20
117.6Points scored / game115.0
125.3Points allowed / game118.2
-6.5Adjusted margin / game-2.8
L3Current streakW2
3-7Last 10 games6-4
4-11 roadHome / road record7-9 home
17-65 (-9.3)Last season36-46 (-3.0)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

Utah Jazz Injury report Jazz

No injuries reported.

Portland Trail Blazers Injury report Trail Blazers

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.