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Trail Blazers vs Jazz prediction NBA · Wednesday, October 29

FinalDelta Center · KUNP 16, BlazerVision, NBA League Pass, KJZZ-TV, Jazz+
Portland Trail Blazers
Portland Trail Blazers
3-2 · away
Final score
136-134
Projected: 116-114
Utah Jazz
Utah Jazz
2-2 · home
56% win PORwin UTAH 44%
FavoritePOR
Projected margin2.0
Projected total231
ConfidenceLow

At a glance

The Utah Jazz (2-1) host the Portland Trail Blazers (2-2) on Wednesday, October 29 at 9:00 PM ET at Delta Center in NBA action. Final score: Trail Blazers 136 – Jazz 134. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Trail Blazers a 56% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Jazz are 2-0 at home and the Trail Blazers are 1-1 on the road. Since the start of the season: 2-1 for the Jazz and 2-2 for the Trail Blazers (current streaks: Jazz W1, Trail Blazers W1).

The analysis Model

A wide-open game: the model barely separates the two teams. The model projects Jazz 114 – 116 Trail Blazers, a margin of about 2.0 points in favor of the Trail Blazers and a total around 231 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. Early season: the numbers still lean heavily on last season, so confidence stays cautious.

  • The overall strength gap (-5.0 vs -0.7 pts/game) is the main factor.
  • The Jazz need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Trail Blazers' defense allows clearly fewer points (114.1 pts/game).

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Jazz
Team strength (adjusted point differential)UTAH -5.0 / POR -0.7 per game
-4.3
Home-court advantageJazz at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Jazz
-2.0

Scenarios

Jazz win by 10+
17%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
31%
Trail Blazers win by 10+
26%

Stat comparison Current season

PORUTAH
113.3
Points scored / game
114.2
114.1
Points allowed / game
120.1
51.1 %
Field goal %
45.4 %
38.9 %
3-point %
33.9 %
43.7
3-pointers attempted / game
34.8
70.8 %
Free throw %
76.6 %
46.3
Rebounds / game
46.8
30.7
Assists / game
26.8
8.3
Steals / game
5.0
2.7
Blocks / game
6.4
13.3
Turnovers / game
17.0

Top performers

Trail Blazers
Jrue HolidayG · #527pts / game
Jrue HolidayG · #58assists
Deni AvdijaF · #89rebounds
Jazz
Lauri MarkkanenF · #2332pts / game
Keyonte GeorgeG · #38assists
Walker KesslerC · #1412rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
POR
No games played yet.
UTAH
No games played yet.

Team comparison

PORUTAH
2-2Record2-1
113.3Points scored / game114.2
114.1Points allowed / game120.1
-0.7Adjusted margin / game-5.0
W1Current streakW1
2-2Last 10 games2-1
1-1 roadHome / road record2-0 home
36-46 (-3.0)Last season17-65 (-9.3)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

Portland Trail Blazers Injury report Trail Blazers

No injuries reported.

Utah Jazz Injury report Jazz

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data; early in the season they rely heavily on last season. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.