Wizards vs Magic prediction NBA · Thursday, March 12
At a glance
The Orlando Magic (36-28) host the Washington Wizards (16-48) on Thursday, March 12 at 7:00 PM ET at Kia Center in NBA action. Final score: Wizards 131 – Magic 136. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Magic a 82% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Magic are 21-12 at home and the Wizards are 5-26 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 7-3 for the Magic and 1-9 for the Wizards (current streaks: Magic W5, Wizards L9).
The analysis Model
The Magic start with a clear edge. The model projects Magic 120 – 109 Wizards, a margin of about 11.4 points in favor of the Magic and a total around 229 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. The Magic played yesterday: fatigue often shows in the fourth quarter.
- The overall strength gap (+1.1 vs -9.6 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The Wizards need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Magic's defense allows clearly fewer points (112.5 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
WSHORL
Top performers
Wizards
Bilal CoulibalyG · #029pts / game
Trae YoungG · #36assists
Tristan VukcevicF · #0011reboundsMagic
Jalen SuggsG · #428pts / gameJalen SuggsG · #48assists
Wendell Carter Jr.C · #3411reboundsRecent form
WSHORLHead-to-head
ORL lead 3-1 this season.
ORL
Team comparison
| WSH | ORL | |
|---|---|---|
| 16-48 | Record | 36-28 |
| 111.8 | Points scored / game | 113.7 |
| 123.2 | Points allowed / game | 112.5 |
| -9.6 | Adjusted margin / game | +1.1 |
| L9 | Current streak | W5 |
| 1-9 | Last 10 games | 7-3 |
| 5-26 road | Home / road record | 21-12 home |
| 18-64 (-12.4) | Last season | 41-41 (-0.1) |
| No | Played yesterday | Yes |
Injury report Wizards
Injury report Magic
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.