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Magic vs Wizards prediction NBA · Saturday, November 1

FinalCapital One Arena · MNMT, FanDuel SN FL, NBA League Pass
70% win ORLwin WSH 30%
FavoriteORL
Projected margin6.5
Projected total227
ConfidenceMedium

At a glance

The Washington Wizards (1-4) host the Orlando Magic (2-4) on Saturday, November 1 at 7:00 PM ET at Capital One Arena in NBA action. Final score: Magic 125 – Wizards 94. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Magic a 70% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Wizards are 0-2 at home and the Magic are 1-2 on the road. Since the start of the season: 1-4 for the Wizards and 2-4 for the Magic (current streaks: Wizards L3, Magic W1).

The analysis Model

The Magic are favored, but the gap isn't huge. The model projects Wizards 110 – 117 Magic, a margin of about 6.5 points in favor of the Magic and a total around 227 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.

  • The overall strength gap (-10.1 vs -1.3 pts/game) is the main factor.
  • The Wizards need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Magic's defense allows clearly fewer points (110.4 pts/game).

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Wizards
Team strength (adjusted point differential)WSH -10.1 / ORL -1.3 per game
-8.8
Home-court advantageWizards at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Wizards
-6.5

Scenarios

Wizards win by 10+
9%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
27%
Magic win by 10+
39%

Stat comparison Current season

ORLWSH
108.8
Points scored / game
111.1
110.4
Points allowed / game
123.0
44.2 %
Field goal %
48.0 %
31.4 %
3-point %
28.5 %
39.0
3-pointers attempted / game
31.6
75.0 %
Free throw %
83.1 %
41.3
Rebounds / game
40.0
26.0
Assists / game
25.8
7.8
Steals / game
7.4
4.5
Blocks / game
5.6
17.8
Turnovers / game
13.6

Top performers

Magic
Paolo BancheroF · #528pts / game
Franz WagnerF · #226assists
Wendell Carter Jr.C · #3412rebounds
Wizards
Kyshawn GeorgeF · #1817pts / game
Bub CarringtonG · #75assists
Alex SarrC · #208rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
ORL
No games played yet.
WSH
No games played yet.

Team comparison

ORLWSH
2-4Record1-4
108.8Points scored / game111.1
110.4Points allowed / game123.0
-1.3Adjusted margin / game-10.1
W1Current streakL3
2-4Last 10 games1-4
1-2 roadHome / road record0-2 home
41-41 (-0.1)Last season18-64 (-12.4)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

Orlando Magic Injury report Magic

No injuries reported.

Washington Wizards Injury report Wizards

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.