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Magic vs Wizards prediction NBA · Tuesday, January 6

FinalCapital One Arena · MNMT, FanDuel SN FL, NBA League Pass
75% win ORLwin WSH 25%
FavoriteORL
Projected margin8.4
Projected total231
ConfidenceHigh

At a glance

The Washington Wizards (9-25) host the Orlando Magic (20-16) on Tuesday, January 6 at 7:00 PM ET at Capital One Arena in NBA action. Final score: Magic 112 – Wizards 120. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Magic a 75% chance to win: prediction missed. This season, the Wizards are 5-12 at home and the Magic are 8-10 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 5-5 for the Wizards and 5-5 for the Magic (current streaks: Wizards L1, Magic W1).

The analysis Model

The Magic start with a clear edge. The model projects Wizards 111 – 120 Magic, a margin of about 8.4 points in favor of the Magic and a total around 231 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.

  • The overall strength gap (-9.7 vs +1.0 pts/game) is the main factor.
  • The Wizards need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Magic's defense allows clearly fewer points (113.0 pts/game).

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Wizards
Team strength (adjusted point differential)WSH -9.7 / ORL +1.0 per game
-10.7
Home-court advantageWizards at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Wizards
-8.4

Scenarios

Wizards win by 10+
7%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
25%
Magic win by 10+
45%

Stat comparison Current season

ORLWSH
114.1
Points scored / game
112.0
113.0
Points allowed / game
123.4
44.2 %
Field goal %
48.0 %
31.4 %
3-point %
28.5 %
39.0
3-pointers attempted / game
31.6
75.0 %
Free throw %
83.1 %
41.3
Rebounds / game
40.0
26.0
Assists / game
25.8
7.8
Steals / game
7.4
4.5
Blocks / game
5.6
17.8
Turnovers / game
13.6

Top performers

Magic
Jase RichardsonG · #1120pts / game
Tyus JonesG · #55assists
Jonathan IsaacF · #18rebounds
Wizards
CJ McCollumG · #327pts / game
CJ McCollumG · #35assists
Bilal CoulibalyG · #08rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
ORL
No games played yet.
WSH
No games played yet.

Team comparison

ORLWSH
20-16Record9-25
114.1Points scored / game112.0
113.0Points allowed / game123.4
+1.0Adjusted margin / game-9.7
W1Current streakL1
5-5Last 10 games5-5
8-10 roadHome / road record5-12 home
41-41 (-0.1)Last season18-64 (-12.4)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

Orlando Magic Injury report Magic

No injuries reported.

Washington Wizards Injury report Wizards

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.