Wizards vs Magic prediction NBA · Tuesday, March 3
At a glance
The Orlando Magic (31-28) host the Washington Wizards (16-44) on Tuesday, March 3 at 7:00 PM ET at Kia Center in NBA action. Final score: Wizards 109 – Magic 126. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Magic a 86% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Magic are 18-12 at home and the Wizards are 5-23 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 6-4 for the Magic and 2-8 for the Wizards (current streaks: Magic L2, Wizards L5).
The analysis Model
The Magic start with a clear edge. The model projects Magic 121 – 108 Wizards, a margin of about 13.3 points in favor of the Magic and a total around 229 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. The Wizards played yesterday: fatigue often shows in the fourth quarter.
- The overall strength gap (+0.1 vs -9.4 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The Wizards need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Magic's defense allows clearly fewer points (112.9 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
WSHORL
Top performers
Wizards
Will RileyG · #2719pts / gameWill RileyG · #275assists
Leaky BlackF · #199reboundsMagic
Paolo BancheroF · #537pts / game
Jalen SuggsG · #49assists
Tristan da SilvaF · #239reboundsRecent form
WSHORLHead-to-head
ORL lead 3-1 this season.
ORL
Team comparison
| WSH | ORL | |
|---|---|---|
| 16-44 | Record | 31-28 |
| 111.6 | Points scored / game | 113.0 |
| 122.6 | Points allowed / game | 112.9 |
| -9.4 | Adjusted margin / game | +0.1 |
| L5 | Current streak | L2 |
| 2-8 | Last 10 games | 6-4 |
| 5-23 road | Home / road record | 18-12 home |
| 18-64 (-12.4) | Last season | 41-41 (-0.1) |
| Yes | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Wizards
Injury report Magic
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.