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Timberwolves vs Clippers prediction NBA · Wednesday, March 11

FinalIntuit Dome · FanDuel SN North, NBA League Pass, FanDuel SN SoCal
45% win MINwin LAC 55%
FavoriteLAC
Projected margin1.4
Projected total226
ConfidenceLow

At a glance

The LA Clippers (32-32) host the Minnesota Timberwolves (40-25) on Wednesday, March 11 at 10:30 PM ET at Intuit Dome in NBA action. Final score: Timberwolves 128 – Clippers 153. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Clippers a 55% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Clippers are 17-13 at home and the Timberwolves are 18-13 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 6-4 for the Clippers and 7-3 for the Timberwolves (current streaks: Clippers W2, Timberwolves L2).

The analysis Model

Close to a coin flip: nothing really sets either side apart. The model projects Clippers 114 – 113 Timberwolves, a margin of about 1.4 points in favor of the Clippers and a total around 226 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. The Timberwolves played yesterday: fatigue often shows in the fourth quarter.

  • The Timberwolves need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Timberwolves' offense (117.8 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Clippers
Team strength (adjusted point differential)LAC +1.0 / MIN +3.4 per game
-2.5
Home-court advantageClippers at home
+2.3
Back-to-backTimberwolves played yesterday
+1.6
Expected marginfor Clippers
+1.4

Scenarios

Clippers win by 10+
25%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
31%
Timberwolves win by 10+
18%

Stat comparison Current season

MINLAC
117.8
Points scored / game
112.8
113.7
Points allowed / game
111.7
47.3 %
Field goal %
45.9 %
38.4 %
3-point %
39.0 %
40.6
3-pointers attempted / game
35.3
62.7 %
Free throw %
78.6 %
51.6
Rebounds / game
40.8
27.0
Assists / game
25.0
9.2
Steals / game
12.5
4.4
Blocks / game
4.5
16.2
Turnovers / game
23.0

Top performers

Timberwolves
Anthony EdwardsG · #536pts / game
Anthony EdwardsG · #55assists
Julius RandleF · #306rebounds
Clippers
Kawhi LeonardF · #245pts / game
Jordan MillerG · #227assists
Isaiah JacksonF · #236rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
MIN
No games played yet.
LAC
No games played yet.

Team comparison

MINLAC
40-25Record32-32
117.8Points scored / game112.8
113.7Points allowed / game111.7
+3.4Adjusted margin / game+1.0
L2Current streakW2
7-3Last 10 games6-4
18-13 roadHome / road record17-13 home
49-33 (+5.0)Last season50-32 (+4.7)
YesPlayed yesterdayNo

Minnesota Timberwolves Injury report Timberwolves

No injuries reported.

LA Clippers Injury report Clippers

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.