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Timberwolves vs Clippers prediction NBA · Thursday, February 26

FinalIntuit Dome · Prime Video, FanDuel SN North Extra
54% win MINwin LAC 46%
FavoriteMIN
Projected margin1.2
Projected total228
ConfidenceLow

At a glance

The LA Clippers (27-30) host the Minnesota Timberwolves (36-23) on Thursday, February 26 at 10:00 PM ET at Intuit Dome in NBA action. Final score: Timberwolves 94 – Clippers 88. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Timberwolves a 54% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Clippers are 14-12 at home and the Timberwolves are 16-12 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 5-5 for the Clippers and 6-4 for the Timberwolves (current streaks: Clippers L2, Timberwolves W1).

The analysis Model

A wide-open game: the model barely separates the two teams. The model projects Clippers 114 – 115 Timberwolves, a margin of about 1.2 points in favor of the Timberwolves and a total around 228 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.

  • The Clippers need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Timberwolves' offense (118.7 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Clippers
Team strength (adjusted point differential)LAC +0.4 / MIN +3.9 per game
-3.5
Home-court advantageClippers at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Clippers
-1.2

Scenarios

Clippers win by 10+
18%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
31%
Timberwolves win by 10+
24%

Stat comparison Current season

MINLAC
118.7
Points scored / game
112.2
114.1
Points allowed / game
111.8
47.3 %
Field goal %
45.9 %
38.4 %
3-point %
39.0 %
40.6
3-pointers attempted / game
35.3
62.7 %
Free throw %
78.6 %
51.6
Rebounds / game
40.8
27.0
Assists / game
25.0
9.2
Steals / game
12.5
4.4
Blocks / game
4.5
16.2
Turnovers / game
23.0

Top performers

Timberwolves
Anthony EdwardsG · #531pts / game
Julius RandleF · #306assists
Rudy GobertC · #2713rebounds
Clippers
Derrick Jones Jr.F · #518pts / game
Kris DunnG · #87assists
Bennedict MathurinG · #246rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
MIN
No games played yet.
LAC
No games played yet.

Team comparison

MINLAC
36-23Record27-30
118.7Points scored / game112.2
114.1Points allowed / game111.8
+3.9Adjusted margin / game+0.4
W1Current streakL2
6-4Last 10 games5-5
16-12 roadHome / road record14-12 home
49-33 (+5.0)Last season50-32 (+4.7)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

Minnesota Timberwolves Injury report Timberwolves

No injuries reported.

LA Clippers Injury report Clippers

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.