Match analysisToday's gamesNBA standingsEuroLeagueTrack record
← Back

Clippers vs Timberwolves prediction NBA · Saturday, December 6

FinalTarget Center · FanDuel SN North, FanDuel SN SoCal, NBA League Pass
21% win LACwin MIN 79%
FavoriteMIN
Projected margin9.9
Projected total227
ConfidenceHigh

At a glance

The Minnesota Timberwolves (14-8) host the LA Clippers (6-17) on Saturday, December 6 at 8:00 PM ET at Target Center in NBA action. Final score: Clippers 106 – Timberwolves 109. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Timberwolves a 79% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Timberwolves are 7-3 at home and the Clippers are 3-10 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 6-4 for the Timberwolves and 2-8 for the Clippers (current streaks: Timberwolves W4, Clippers L1).

The analysis Model

The Timberwolves start with a clear edge. The model projects Timberwolves 119 – 109 Clippers, a margin of about 9.9 points in favor of the Timberwolves and a total around 227 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. The Clippers played yesterday: fatigue often shows in the fourth quarter.

  • The overall strength gap (+4.4 vs -1.6 pts/game) is the main factor.
  • The Clippers need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Timberwolves' offense (118.5 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Timberwolves
Team strength (adjusted point differential)MIN +4.4 / LAC -1.6 per game
+6.0
Home-court advantageTimberwolves at home
+2.3
Back-to-backClippers played yesterday
+1.6
Expected marginfor Timberwolves
+9.9

Scenarios

Timberwolves win by 10+
50%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
23%
Clippers win by 10+
6%

Stat comparison Current season

LACMIN
112.2
Points scored / game
118.5
114.0
Points allowed / game
113.3
45.9 %
Field goal %
47.3 %
39.0 %
3-point %
38.4 %
35.3
3-pointers attempted / game
40.6
78.6 %
Free throw %
62.7 %
40.8
Rebounds / game
51.6
25.0
Assists / game
27.0
12.5
Steals / game
9.2
4.5
Blocks / game
4.4
23.0
Turnovers / game
16.2

Top performers

Clippers
James HardenG · #134pts / game
James HardenG · #16assists
Ivica ZubacC · #4013rebounds
Timberwolves
Jaden McDanielsF · #327pts / game
Julius RandleF · #306assists
Naz ReidC · #09rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
LAC
No games played yet.
MIN
No games played yet.

Team comparison

LACMIN
6-17Record14-8
112.2Points scored / game118.5
114.0Points allowed / game113.3
-1.6Adjusted margin / game+4.4
L1Current streakW4
2-8Last 10 games6-4
3-10 roadHome / road record7-3 home
50-32 (+4.7)Last season49-33 (+5.0)
YesPlayed yesterdayNo

LA Clippers Injury report Clippers

No injuries reported.

Minnesota Timberwolves Injury report Timberwolves

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.