Warriors vs Jazz prediction NBA · Monday, March 9
At a glance
The Utah Jazz (19-45) host the Golden State Warriors (32-31) on Monday, March 9 at 9:00 PM ET at Delta Center in NBA action. Final score: Warriors 116 – Jazz 119. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Warriors a 68% chance to win: prediction missed. This season, the Jazz are 11-21 at home and the Warriors are 13-18 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 2-8 for the Jazz and 4-6 for the Warriors (current streaks: Jazz L1, Warriors L1).
The analysis Model
Slight edge to the Warriors, but the Jazz have what it takes to keep it close. The model projects Jazz 114 – 120 Warriors, a margin of about 5.7 points in favor of the Warriors and a total around 235 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game.
- The overall strength gap (-6.7 vs +1.3 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The Jazz need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Warriors' defense allows clearly fewer points (113.4 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
GSUTAH
Top performers
Warriors
De'Anthony MeltonG · #822pts / game
Draymond GreenF · #2311assists
Gui SantosF · #158reboundsJazz
Brice SensabaughF · #2821pts / game
Cody WilliamsF · #97assists
Kyle FilipowskiF · #215reboundsRecent form
GSUTAHHead-to-head
GS lead 3-1 this season.
UTAH
Team comparison
| GS | UTAH | |
|---|---|---|
| 32-31 | Record | 19-45 |
| 114.8 | Points scored / game | 116.5 |
| 113.4 | Points allowed / game | 124.4 |
| +1.3 | Adjusted margin / game | -6.7 |
| L1 | Current streak | L1 |
| 4-6 | Last 10 games | 2-8 |
| 13-18 road | Home / road record | 11-21 home |
| 48-34 (+3.3) | Last season | 17-65 (-9.3) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Warriors
Injury report Jazz
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.