Match analysisToday's gamesNBA standingsEuroLeagueTrack record
← Back

Jazz vs Warriors prediction NBA · Monday, November 24

FinalChase Center · NBC Sports BA, KJZZ-TV, Jazz+, NBA League Pass
Utah Jazz
Utah Jazz
5-12 · away
Final score
117-134
Projected: 110-122
Golden State Warriors
Golden State Warriors
10-9 · home
17% win UTAHwin GS 83%
FavoriteGS
Projected margin11.7
Projected total232
ConfidenceHigh

At a glance

The Golden State Warriors (9-9) host the Utah Jazz (5-11) on Monday, November 24 at 10:00 PM ET at Chase Center in NBA action. Final score: Jazz 117 – Warriors 134. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Warriors a 83% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Warriors are 5-1 at home and the Jazz are 1-6 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 4-6 for the Warriors and 3-7 for the Jazz (current streaks: Warriors L3, Jazz L3).

The analysis Model

The Warriors start with a clear edge. The model projects Warriors 122 – 110 Jazz, a margin of about 11.7 points in favor of the Warriors and a total around 232 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. The Jazz played yesterday: fatigue often shows in the fourth quarter.

  • The overall strength gap (+1.1 vs -6.7 pts/game) is the main factor.
  • The Jazz need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Warriors' defense allows clearly fewer points (113.1 pts/game).

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Warriors
Team strength (adjusted point differential)GS +1.1 / UTAH -6.7 per game
+7.8
Home-court advantageWarriors at home
+2.3
Back-to-backJazz played yesterday
+1.6
Expected marginfor Warriors
+11.7

Scenarios

Warriors win by 10+
56%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
20%
Jazz win by 10+
4%

Stat comparison Current season

UTAHGS
115.5
Points scored / game
114.4
123.4
Points allowed / game
113.1
45.4 %
Field goal %
45.0 %
33.9 %
3-point %
36.9 %
34.8
3-pointers attempted / game
39.0
76.6 %
Free throw %
82.2 %
46.8
Rebounds / game
43.8
26.8
Assists / game
25.6
5.0
Steals / game
9.6
6.4
Blocks / game
3.8
17.0
Turnovers / game
16.8

Top performers

Jazz
Keyonte GeorgeG · #328pts / game
Keyonte GeorgeG · #37assists
Kyle FilipowskiF · #29rebounds
Warriors
Stephen CurryG · #3031pts / game
Gary Payton IIG · #08assists
Jimmy Butler IIIF · #106rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
UTAH
No games played yet.
GS
No games played yet.

Team comparison

UTAHGS
5-11Record9-9
115.5Points scored / game114.4
123.4Points allowed / game113.1
-6.7Adjusted margin / game+1.1
L3Current streakL3
3-7Last 10 games4-6
1-6 roadHome / road record5-1 home
17-65 (-9.3)Last season48-34 (+3.3)
YesPlayed yesterdayNo

Utah Jazz Injury report Jazz

No injuries reported.

Golden State Warriors Injury report Warriors

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.