Jazz vs Warriors prediction NBA · Saturday, January 3
At a glance
The Golden State Warriors (18-17) host the Utah Jazz (12-21) on Saturday, January 3 at 10:00 PM ET at Chase Center in NBA action. Final score: Jazz 114 – Warriors 123. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Warriors a 75% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Warriors are 10-5 at home and the Jazz are 4-10 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 5-5 for the Warriors and 4-6 for the Jazz (current streaks: Warriors L1, Jazz L2).
The analysis Model
On paper, the Warriors dominate this matchup. The model projects Warriors 121 – 113 Jazz, a margin of about 8.5 points in favor of the Warriors and a total around 234 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game. The Warriors played yesterday: fatigue often shows in the fourth quarter.
- The overall strength gap (+1.4 vs -6.5 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The Jazz need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Jazz's offense (117.7 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
- The Warriors' defense allows clearly fewer points (113.1 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
UTAHGS
Top performers
Jazz
Lauri MarkkanenF · #2335pts / game
Keyonte GeorgeG · #39assists
Kevin LoveF · #4210reboundsWarriors
Stephen CurryG · #3031pts / game
Brandin PodziemskiG · #28assists
Gary Payton IIG · #08reboundsRecent form
UTAHGSHead-to-head
GS lead 3-1 this season.
UTAH
Team comparison
| UTAH | GS | |
|---|---|---|
| 12-21 | Record | 18-17 |
| 117.7 | Points scored / game | 114.7 |
| 125.4 | Points allowed / game | 113.1 |
| -6.5 | Adjusted margin / game | +1.4 |
| L2 | Current streak | L1 |
| 4-6 | Last 10 games | 5-5 |
| 4-10 road | Home / road record | 10-5 home |
| 17-65 (-9.3) | Last season | 48-34 (+3.3) |
| No | Played yesterday | Yes |
Injury report Jazz
Injury report Warriors
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.