Warriors vs Jazz prediction NBA · Wednesday, January 28
At a glance
The Utah Jazz (15-32) host the Golden State Warriors (26-22) on Wednesday, January 28 at 9:00 PM ET at Delta Center in NBA action. Final score: Warriors 140 – Jazz 124. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Warriors a 77% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Jazz are 10-15 at home and the Warriors are 9-15 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 2-8 for the Jazz and 6-4 for the Warriors (current streaks: Jazz L3, Warriors L1).
The analysis Model
On paper, the Warriors dominate this matchup. The model projects Jazz 113 – 122 Warriors, a margin of about 9.2 points in favor of the Warriors and a total around 234 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game. The Jazz played yesterday: fatigue often shows in the fourth quarter.
- The overall strength gap (-7.6 vs +2.3 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The Jazz need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Warriors' defense allows clearly fewer points (112.8 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
GSUTAH
Top performers
Warriors
Stephen CurryG · #3027pts / game
Al HorfordC · #208assists
Brandin PodziemskiG · #28reboundsJazz
Brice SensabaughF · #2822pts / game
Keyonte GeorgeG · #37assistsKeyonte GeorgeG · #37reboundsRecent form
GSUTAHHead-to-head
GS lead 3-1 this season.
UTAH
Team comparison
| GS | UTAH | |
|---|---|---|
| 26-22 | Record | 15-32 |
| 115.6 | Points scored / game | 117.3 |
| 112.8 | Points allowed / game | 126.3 |
| +2.3 | Adjusted margin / game | -7.6 |
| L1 | Current streak | L3 |
| 6-4 | Last 10 games | 2-8 |
| 9-15 road | Home / road record | 10-15 home |
| 48-34 (+3.3) | Last season | 17-65 (-9.3) |
| No | Played yesterday | Yes |
Injury report Warriors
Injury report Jazz
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.