Rockets vs Spurs prediction NBA · Sunday, March 8
At a glance
The San Antonio Spurs (46-18) host the Houston Rockets (39-23) on Sunday, March 8 at 8:00 PM ET at Frost Bank Center in NBA action. Final score: Rockets 120 – Spurs 145. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Spurs a 57% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Spurs are 23-6 at home and the Rockets are 18-15 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 9-1 for the Spurs and 6-4 for the Rockets (current streaks: Spurs W3, Rockets W1).
The analysis Model
A wide-open game: the model barely separates the two teams. The model projects Spurs 115 – 112 Rockets, a margin of about 2.3 points in favor of the Spurs and a total around 227 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.
- The Rockets need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Rockets' defense allows clearly fewer points (109.4 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
HOUSA
Top performers
Rockets
Amen ThompsonG · #123pts / gameAmen ThompsonG · #16assistsAmen ThompsonG · #17reboundsSpurs
Victor WembanyamaF · #129pts / game
De'Aaron FoxG · #410assistsVictor WembanyamaF · #18reboundsRecent form
HOUSAHead-to-head
SA lead 3-1 this season.
HOU
Team comparison
| HOU | SA | |
|---|---|---|
| 39-23 | Record | 46-18 |
| 114.5 | Points scored / game | 117.4 |
| 109.4 | Points allowed / game | 112.4 |
| +4.3 | Adjusted margin / game | +4.3 |
| W1 | Current streak | W3 |
| 6-4 | Last 10 games | 9-1 |
| 18-15 road | Home / road record | 23-6 home |
| 52-30 (+4.5) | Last season | 34-48 (-2.8) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Rockets
Injury report Spurs
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.