Spurs vs Rockets prediction NBA · Tuesday, January 20
At a glance
The Houston Rockets (25-15) host the San Antonio Spurs (30-14) on Tuesday, January 20 at 8:00 PM ET at Toyota Center (Houston) in NBA action. Final score: Spurs 106 – Rockets 111. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Rockets a 69% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Rockets are 14-3 at home and the Spurs are 14-9 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 5-5 for the Rockets and 6-4 for the Spurs (current streaks: Rockets W2, Spurs W3).
The analysis Model
The Rockets are favored, but the gap isn't huge. The model projects Rockets 117 – 111 Spurs, a margin of about 6.2 points in favor of the Rockets and a total around 227 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. The Spurs played yesterday: fatigue often shows in the fourth quarter.
- The Spurs need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Rockets' defense allows clearly fewer points (110.4 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
SAHOU
Top performers
Spurs
Julian ChampagnieF · #3027pts / game
Stephon CastleG · #58assists
Victor WembanyamaF · #110reboundsRockets
Reed SheppardG · #1521pts / game
Alperen SengunC · #289assistsAlperen SengunC · #2813reboundsRecent form
SAHOUHead-to-head
SA lead 3-1 this season.
HOU
Team comparison
| SA | HOU | |
|---|---|---|
| 30-14 | Record | 25-15 |
| 117.0 | Points scored / game | 116.5 |
| 113.7 | Points allowed / game | 110.4 |
| +2.8 | Adjusted margin / game | +5.1 |
| W3 | Current streak | W2 |
| 6-4 | Last 10 games | 5-5 |
| 14-9 road | Home / road record | 14-3 home |
| 34-48 (-2.8) | Last season | 52-30 (+4.5) |
| Yes | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Spurs
Injury report Rockets
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.