Rockets vs Spurs prediction NBA · Friday, November 7
At a glance
The San Antonio Spurs (5-2) host the Houston Rockets (5-2) on Friday, November 7 at 7:30 PM ET at Frost Bank Center in NBA action. Final score: Rockets 110 – Spurs 121. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Rockets a 60% chance to win: prediction missed. This season, the Spurs are 3-0 at home and the Rockets are 3-1 on the road. Since the start of the season: 5-2 for the Spurs and 5-2 for the Rockets (current streaks: Spurs L2, Rockets W5).
The analysis Model
The Rockets are favored, but the gap isn't huge. The model projects Spurs 113 – 116 Rockets, a margin of about 3.1 points in favor of the Rockets and a total around 229 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.
- The overall strength gap (+1.1 vs +6.5 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The Spurs need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Rockets' defense allows clearly fewer points (110.5 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
HOUSA
Top performers
Rockets
Alperen SengunC · #2825pts / gameAlperen SengunC · #288assistsAlperen SengunC · #288reboundsSpurs
Harrison BarnesF · #4024pts / game
Stephon CastleG · #513assists
Victor WembanyamaF · #18reboundsRecent form
HOUSAHead-to-head
SA lead 3-1 this season.
HOU
Team comparison
| HOU | SA | |
|---|---|---|
| 5-2 | Record | 5-2 |
| 118.1 | Points scored / game | 115.4 |
| 110.5 | Points allowed / game | 114.1 |
| +6.5 | Adjusted margin / game | +1.1 |
| W5 | Current streak | L2 |
| 5-2 | Last 10 games | 5-2 |
| 3-1 road | Home / road record | 3-0 home |
| 52-30 (+4.5) | Last season | 34-48 (-2.8) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Rockets
Injury report Spurs
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.