Spurs vs Rockets prediction NBA · Wednesday, January 28
At a glance
The Houston Rockets (28-16) host the San Antonio Spurs (31-16) on Wednesday, January 28 at 9:42 PM ET at Toyota Center (Houston) in NBA action. Final score: Spurs 111 – Rockets 99. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Rockets a 64% chance to win: prediction missed. This season, the Rockets are 16-3 at home and the Spurs are 15-10 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 6-4 for the Rockets and 6-4 for the Spurs (current streaks: Rockets W2, Spurs L1).
The analysis Model
The Rockets are favored, but the gap isn't huge. The model projects Rockets 116 – 112 Spurs, a margin of about 4.6 points in favor of the Rockets and a total around 228 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.
- The Spurs need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Rockets' defense allows clearly fewer points (110.4 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
SAHOU
Top performers
Spurs
Victor WembanyamaF · #128pts / game
De'Aaron FoxG · #48assistsVictor WembanyamaF · #116reboundsRockets
Amen ThompsonG · #125pts / game
Alperen SengunC · #287assistsAlperen SengunC · #2810reboundsRecent form
SAHOUHead-to-head
SA lead 3-1 this season.
HOU
Team comparison
| SA | HOU | |
|---|---|---|
| 31-16 | Record | 28-16 |
| 116.6 | Points scored / game | 116.2 |
| 113.4 | Points allowed / game | 110.4 |
| +2.7 | Adjusted margin / game | +5.0 |
| L1 | Current streak | W2 |
| 6-4 | Last 10 games | 6-4 |
| 15-10 road | Home / road record | 16-3 home |
| 34-48 (-2.8) | Last season | 52-30 (+4.5) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Spurs
Injury report Rockets
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.