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Magic vs Bucks prediction NBA · Sunday, March 8

FinalFiserv Forum · FanDuel SN WI, FanDuel SN FL, NBA League Pass
53% win ORLwin MIL 47%
FavoriteORL
Projected margin0.9
Projected total225
ConfidenceLow

At a glance

The Milwaukee Bucks (27-35) host the Orlando Magic (34-28) on Sunday, March 8 at 8:00 PM ET at Fiserv Forum in NBA action. Final score: Magic 130 – Bucks 91. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Magic a 53% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Bucks are 15-16 at home and the Magic are 14-16 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 5-5 for the Bucks and 6-4 for the Magic (current streaks: Bucks W1, Magic W3).

The analysis Model

Close to a coin flip: nothing really sets either side apart. The model projects Bucks 112 – 113 Magic, a margin of about 0.9 points in favor of the Magic and a total around 225 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. The Bucks and the Magic played yesterday: fatigue often shows in the fourth quarter.

  • The Bucks need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Bucks
Team strength (adjusted point differential)MIL -2.6 / ORL +0.6 per game
-3.2
Home-court advantageBucks at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Bucks
-0.9

Scenarios

Bucks win by 10+
19%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
31%
Magic win by 10+
23%

Stat comparison Current season

ORLMIL
113.3
Points scored / game
112.1
112.6
Points allowed / game
115.1
44.2 %
Field goal %
44.9 %
31.4 %
3-point %
34.0 %
39.0
3-pointers attempted / game
41.2
75.0 %
Free throw %
71.6 %
41.3
Rebounds / game
49.8
26.0
Assists / game
24.6
7.8
Steals / game
5.8
4.5
Blocks / game
4.0
17.8
Turnovers / game
16.8

Top performers

Magic
Paolo BancheroF · #533pts / game
Desmond BaneG · #39assists
Moritz WagnerC · #139rebounds
Bucks
Bobby PortisF · #9518pts / game
Cam ThomasG · #246assists
Bobby PortisF · #9510rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
ORL
No games played yet.
MIL
No games played yet.

Team comparison

ORLMIL
34-28Record27-35
113.3Points scored / game112.1
112.6Points allowed / game115.1
+0.6Adjusted margin / game-2.6
W3Current streakW1
6-4Last 10 games5-5
14-16 roadHome / road record15-16 home
41-41 (-0.1)Last season48-34 (+2.5)
YesPlayed yesterdayYes

Orlando Magic Injury report Magic

No injuries reported.

Milwaukee Bucks Injury report Bucks

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.