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Bucks vs Magic prediction NBA · Wednesday, February 11

FinalKia Center · FanDuel SN FL, FanDuel SN WI, NBA League Pass
Milwaukee Bucks
Milwaukee Bucks
22-30 · away
Final score
116-108
Projected: 111-116
Orlando Magic
Orlando Magic
28-25 · home
36% win MILwin ORL 64%
FavoriteORL
Projected margin4.6
Projected total227
ConfidenceMedium

At a glance

The Orlando Magic (28-24) host the Milwaukee Bucks (21-30) on Wednesday, February 11 at 7:00 PM ET at Kia Center in NBA action. Final score: Bucks 116 – Magic 108. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Magic a 64% chance to win: prediction missed. This season, the Magic are 18-9 at home and the Bucks are 9-18 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 5-5 for the Magic and 4-6 for the Bucks (current streaks: Magic W3, Bucks L1).

The analysis Model

The Magic are favored, but the gap isn't huge. The model projects Magic 116 – 111 Bucks, a margin of about 4.6 points in favor of the Magic and a total around 227 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.

  • The Bucks need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Magic
Team strength (adjusted point differential)ORL -0.0 / MIL -2.4 per game
+2.3
Home-court advantageMagic at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Magic
+4.6

Scenarios

Magic win by 10+
33%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
29%
Bucks win by 10+
12%

Stat comparison Current season

MILORL
112.5
Points scored / game
113.4
115.2
Points allowed / game
113.4
44.9 %
Field goal %
44.2 %
34.0 %
3-point %
31.4 %
41.2
3-pointers attempted / game
39.0
71.6 %
Free throw %
75.0 %
49.8
Rebounds / game
41.3
24.6
Assists / game
26.0
5.8
Steals / game
7.8
4.0
Blocks / game
4.5
16.8
Turnovers / game
17.8

Top performers

Bucks
Cam ThomasG · #2434pts / game
Kevin Porter Jr.G · #711assists
Jericho SimsC · #0011rebounds
Magic
Desmond BaneG · #331pts / game
Jalen SuggsG · #410assists
Wendell Carter Jr.C · #3411rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
MIL
No games played yet.
ORL
No games played yet.

Team comparison

MILORL
21-30Record28-24
112.5Points scored / game113.4
115.2Points allowed / game113.4
-2.4Adjusted margin / game-0.0
L1Current streakW3
4-6Last 10 games5-5
9-18 roadHome / road record18-9 home
48-34 (+2.5)Last season41-41 (-0.1)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

Milwaukee Bucks Injury report Bucks

No injuries reported.

Orlando Magic Injury report Magic

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.