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Bucks vs Magic prediction NBA · Monday, February 9

FinalKia Center · Peacock
37% win MILwin ORL 63%
FavoriteORL
Projected margin4.1
Projected total227
ConfidenceMedium

At a glance

The Orlando Magic (27-24) host the Milwaukee Bucks (21-29) on Monday, February 9 at 7:30 PM ET at Kia Center in NBA action. Final score: Bucks 99 – Magic 118. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Magic a 63% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Magic are 17-9 at home and the Bucks are 9-17 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 4-6 for the Magic and 4-6 for the Bucks (current streaks: Magic W2, Bucks W3).

The analysis Model

Slight edge to the Magic, but the Bucks have what it takes to keep it close. The model projects Magic 116 – 112 Bucks, a margin of about 4.1 points in favor of the Magic and a total around 227 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.

  • The Bucks need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Magic
Team strength (adjusted point differential)ORL -0.3 / MIL -2.1 per game
+1.8
Home-court advantageMagic at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Magic
+4.1

Scenarios

Magic win by 10+
32%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
30%
Bucks win by 10+
13%

Stat comparison Current season

MILORL
112.7
Points scored / game
113.3
115.2
Points allowed / game
113.6
44.9 %
Field goal %
44.2 %
34.0 %
3-point %
31.4 %
41.2
3-pointers attempted / game
39.0
71.6 %
Free throw %
75.0 %
49.8
Rebounds / game
41.3
24.6
Assists / game
26.0
5.8
Steals / game
7.8
4.0
Blocks / game
4.5
16.8
Turnovers / game
17.8

Top performers

Bucks
Kevin Porter Jr.G · #728pts / game
Kevin Porter Jr.G · #77assists
AJ GreenG · #206rebounds
Magic
Anthony BlackG · #026pts / game
Jalen SuggsG · #410assists
Paolo BancheroF · #59rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
MIL
No games played yet.
ORL
No games played yet.

Team comparison

MILORL
21-29Record27-24
112.7Points scored / game113.3
115.2Points allowed / game113.6
-2.1Adjusted margin / game-0.3
W3Current streakW2
4-6Last 10 games4-6
9-17 roadHome / road record17-9 home
48-34 (+2.5)Last season41-41 (-0.1)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

Milwaukee Bucks Injury report Bucks

No injuries reported.

Orlando Magic Injury report Magic

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.