Pelicans vs Suns prediction NBA · Friday, March 6
At a glance
The Phoenix Suns (35-27) host the New Orleans Pelicans (20-44) on Friday, March 6 at 9:00 PM ET at Mortgage Matchup Center in NBA action. Final score: Pelicans 116 – Suns 118. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Suns a 72% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Suns are 20-13 at home and the Pelicans are 9-23 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 4-6 for the Suns and 6-4 for the Pelicans (current streaks: Suns L1, Pelicans W1).
The analysis Model
On paper, the Suns dominate this matchup. The model projects Suns 118 – 110 Pelicans, a margin of about 7.4 points in favor of the Suns and a total around 228 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. The Suns and the Pelicans played yesterday: fatigue often shows in the fourth quarter.
- The overall strength gap (+0.2 vs -4.9 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The Pelicans need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Suns' defense allows clearly fewer points (112.0 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
NOPHX
Top performers
Pelicans
Trey Murphy IIIF · #2522pts / game
Dejounte MurrayG · #55assists
Zion WilliamsonF · #110reboundsSuns
Devin BookerG · #1532pts / game
Grayson AllenG · #88assists
Oso IghodaroF · #116reboundsRecent form
NOPHXHead-to-head
PHX lead 4-0 this season.
NO
Team comparison
| NO | PHX | |
|---|---|---|
| 20-44 | Record | 35-27 |
| 114.3 | Points scored / game | 112.3 |
| 120.1 | Points allowed / game | 112.0 |
| -4.9 | Adjusted margin / game | +0.2 |
| W1 | Current streak | L1 |
| 6-4 | Last 10 games | 4-6 |
| 9-23 road | Home / road record | 20-13 home |
| 21-61 (-9.4) | Last season | 36-46 (-3.0) |
| Yes | Played yesterday | Yes |
Injury report Pelicans
Injury report Suns
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.