Pelicans vs Suns prediction NBA · Monday, November 10
At a glance
The Phoenix Suns (5-5) host the New Orleans Pelicans (2-7) on Monday, November 10 at 9:00 PM ET at Mortgage Matchup Center in NBA action. Final score: Pelicans 98 – Suns 121. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Suns a 78% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Suns are 4-1 at home and the Pelicans are 1-5 on the road. Since the start of the season: 5-5 for the Suns and 2-7 for the Pelicans (current streaks: Suns W2, Pelicans L1).
The analysis Model
On paper, the Suns dominate this matchup. The model projects Suns 120 – 110 Pelicans, a margin of about 9.8 points in favor of the Suns and a total around 231 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.
- The overall strength gap (-1.5 vs -9.0 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The Pelicans need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Suns' offense (114.9 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
- The Suns' defense allows clearly fewer points (116.7 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
NOPHX
Top performers
Pelicans
Trey Murphy IIIF · #2521pts / gameTrey Murphy IIIF · #254assistsTrey Murphy IIIF · #2510reboundsSuns
Grayson AllenG · #842pts / game
Collin GillespieG · #125assists
Mark WilliamsC · #257reboundsRecent form
NOPHXHead-to-head
PHX lead 4-0 this season.
NO
Team comparison
| NO | PHX | |
|---|---|---|
| 2-7 | Record | 5-5 |
| 109.5 | Points scored / game | 114.9 |
| 120.1 | Points allowed / game | 116.7 |
| -9.0 | Adjusted margin / game | -1.5 |
| L1 | Current streak | W2 |
| 2-7 | Last 10 games | 5-5 |
| 1-5 road | Home / road record | 4-1 home |
| 21-61 (-9.4) | Last season | 36-46 (-3.0) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Pelicans
Injury report Suns
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.